The Phillies (74-59, 33-33 away) travel to take on the Brewers (74-59, 38-27 home) in game one of this National League matchup. Zack Wheeler is getting the start for the Phillies while Freddy Peralta is starting for the Brewers. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers showdown at American Family Field.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -103
This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, September 1st.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS:
- In their previous ten games, the Brewers have a record of 8-2.
- The Brewers are on a six game winning streak as the home favorite.
- Over his last five starts, Freddy Peralta has an ERA of just 1.65.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL EAST
Leading up to today’s game, the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East on a record of 74-59. Overall, they have played in 43 different series, going 24-16-3. When playing above .500 teams, the Phillies are 74-59, and currently hold win percentages of 61.2% at home and 50.0% on the road.
Zack Wheeler has taken the mound 27 times in 2021, boasting a 10-6 record. His ERA stands at 3.59, with opposing batters hitting .231 against him. On the road, Wheeler is 6-4 with a 4.05 ERA, while he is 4-2 at home with an ERA of 4.03. Overall, teams have a slugging percentage of .361 against him this season.
In his most recent start, Zack Wheeler earned the win in a 12-1 rout of the Cardinals. The right-hander tossed seven innings of one-run, three-hit ball to notch his first quality start of the season.
The Phillies have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 24 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 1st best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 11th in home runs and 5th in slugging percentage. Overall, Philadelphia is averaging 4.9 runs per game (9th).
Trea Turner has been a major contributor to the Phillies’ offensive success this season, leading the team with 19 home runs in their last five games. His batting average stands at .258, making him a valuable asset to the team’s lineup.
WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Throughout the season, the Brewers have taken advantage of playing at home, posting a series record of 12-7 at American Family Field. Their overall record of 74-59 puts Milwaukee 1st in the NL Central. Against the runline, their overall record is 62-71 and 26-39 at home. This year’s Brewers’ games have an over/under record of 59-70.
Freddy Peralta takes the mound for the Brewers, having earned a victory in five consecutive starts. He holds an ERA of 3.95 and a record of Peralta. His season-long strikeout total is 177, with opponents batting .210 against him. Additionally, his slugging percentage allowed is .379 and WHIP stands at 1.17.
Freddy Peralta earned a victory in his most recent start, surrendering two earned runs and two hits over 5 1/3 frames against the Padres. The Brewers came out on top of the 5-4 contest.
With a season-long average of 4.4 runs per game, the Brewers are the 17th ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .235, with an OBP of .315. In Milwaukee’s last ten games, they are 11th in home runs, having gone deep three times in that span.
William Contreras has been a major contributor to the Brewers’ offensive success this season, as he leads the team with 14 home runs over their last five games. With a .279 batting average, Contreras has been a reliable source of power for Milwaukee.