The Phillies head into Wednesday’s matchup vs. the Reds looking to move to 16-9 on the season, while Cincinnati is looking to pick up a win and move above .500. This game is set for 6:40 PM from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The forecast looks good for tonight’s game, with clear skies and temperatures in the low 60s.

Spencer Turnbull will go for the Phillies, while the Reds are sending Nick Lodolo to the mound. Philadelphia is the slight favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

CINCINNATI REDS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -113

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, April 24th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS REDS:

  • We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cincinnati cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight underdogs at +112.

Andrew Abbott only went 4 1/3 innings for the Reds but gave up just one run and two hits. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued four walks. On the other side, Cristopher Sanchez was tagged for four runs in just three innings of work for the Phillies.

Santiago Espinal and Elly De La Cruz each homered for the Reds, while Christian Encarnacion-Strand scored twice and drove in two runs while going 3/4. Alec Bohm had a two-hit game for the Phillies.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is 15-9 overall this season and is in 2nd place in the NL East, two games behind the Braves. The Phillies are 3-3 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have won four series, and they are currently in the middle of a series vs. the Reds.

The Phillies have won two straight series, and they have won two straight series on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 13-7 this year, and they are 2-2 as the underdog. Coming into today’s game, the Phillies are 5-3 on the road.

When betting the Phillies on the run line this season, it’s been a bit of a mixed bag. They are 11-13 overall, but have been slightly better on the road (4-4) than at home (7-9). As the favorite, they are just 9-11 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 2-2. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it drops to -4.6 in losses.

When the Phillies play, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs, but today’s line is 8.5. The over/under record for the Phillies this season is 9-14, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 1-6, and the combined run average in those games is 9 runs per game. Overall, 58.3% of their games have had lower lines than today’s 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in just 33.3% of games with lines of 8.5 runs or higher.

Spencer Turnbull is on the mound for the Phillies, and he has been solid through his first three starts. He picked up a win in his last outing, going 7 innings and striking out 6 vs. the White Sox. He also has a no-decision vs. the Pirates and Reds, giving up 3 runs in 4 innings and 1 run in 5 innings, respectively.

Philadelphia’s offense has been solid at home this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. However, they have been a below-average offense on the road, averaging just 3.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 14th in the league at 4.3 runs per game. The Phillies have been a good home run hitting team so far, as their 27 homers are 5th in the league.

Over his last six games, Alec Bohm has been on fire for the Phillies, going 11/23 with two homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .305 with three homers, which is 5th in the league. Kyle Schwarber has gone deep six times this season, but he is batting just .200 and has gone 3/21 in his last six games.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 13-10 overall and are 3rd in the NL Central, 1.5 games behind the Brewers. The Reds have gone 1-2 in games against other teams in the NL Central. In their most recent game, they picked up a win vs. the Phillies, who are 2nd in the NL East.

So far, the Reds have been good at home, going 8-6 compared to 5-4 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 9-4 and 4-6 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 4-3.

The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 12-11 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 7-7 against the run line. They have a run differential of +0.9 runs per game for the season, with an average run differential of +0.7 runs per game at home. In their wins, they are outscoring opponents by an average of 4.5 runs per game.

So far this season, the Reds have had 13 of their games with an over/under line set higher than 8.5 runs, which is 56.5% of their games. In those games, the over/under record is 6-7. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. In the games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, the record is 1-1. The combined run average for their games this season is 9.5 runs per game.

Coming off a win in his first two starts, Nick Lodolo gets the nod at home against the Phillies. Lodolo has been dominant, as he has yet to allow an earned run this season. In his first start, he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 10, and then he went 6 1/3 innings and struck out 6 in his last outing.

Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds’ top power threats this season, as De La Cruz’s seven homers is 2nd in the league and Steer is 6th in the league with three homers. De La Cruz is batting .295 for the season, while Steer comes in at .277. De La Cruz has also been hot of late, going 7/27 with three homers in his last nine games.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, their team batting average is just .221 (20th) and they have the 3rd best isolated power mark in the league. Cincinnati’s most patient hitter has been Elly De La Cruz, who has an OBP of .402.