Home Golf 2021 PGA Championship Golf Betting Odds & Picks

2021 PGA Championship Golf Betting Odds & Picks

Golf’s second major of the 2021 calendar year will take place this week on the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island Golf Resort. Up to 10,000 spectators per day will be allowed on the grounds and it will be great to hear the roars for big putts and big moments. We should have a lot of them as well.

Collin Morikawa is the reigning PGA Championship winner from last August’s event at TPC Harding Park, a tournament that was moved from May to August because of the COVID-19 pandemic. This year’s tournament is going off as scheduled and will be the most attended of the PGA Tour events thus far.

Odds will be posted from BetOnline Sportsbook after the body of the article and don’t forget that you can get a 50% Deposit Bonus up to $1,000 from our friends at BetOnline to bet the major or whatever your heart desires.

Betting Odds & The Field

Because this is the Tour’s signature major, it is a little bit more welcoming in terms of the selection criteria. The field is 156 players max and we usually get that or close to it because there are so many ways to gain entry into the field, including wins in past majors, positioning on the Official World Golf Ranking or the PGA Tour Money List, or just by simply being a winner since the last PGA Championship.

With that being said, we have a huge field this week. Recent Wells Fargo Champion Rory McIlroy is the +1200 favorite per BetOnline. Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas are priced at +1400, with Bryson DeChambeau and Jordan Spieth at +1600, and with Dustin Johnson, Viktor Hovland, and Collin Morikawa as the others with prices below +3000.

A lot of really strong players are priced in the +4000 to +6000 range here, including Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau, Patrick Cantlay, Webb Simpson, Scottie Scheffler, Tyrrell Hatton, and so many more.

The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island

This is the second time in a decade that Kiawah Island Golf Resort has hosted the PGA Championship. The other year was 2012 and tournament favorite Rory McIlroy won by eight shots at 13-under. It was the largest margin of victory in PGA Championship history.

This course is an absolute monster. It will set the record this week for the longest course to be played in a major ever, supplanting Erin Hills from the 2017 US Open. The course will play over 7,800 yards and wind will undoubtedly be a factor on the shores of the Atlantic Ocean, so some holes will play longer than listed, while others will play shorter.

There are six holes listed over 500 yards and not all of them are par 5s. It is a par 72 course, but it could very well be a par 73 or 74 by the distance.

Yay or Neigh?

Looking at course form data is pretty irrelevant here, to be totally honest. The course will play a good bit longer than it did in 2012 and a lot of the guys that are winning golf tournaments or regularly contending are either much different than they were back then or were not in the field at all.

That means we’re really just left to put together a profile of the kind of player we want to side with.

Handicapping Tips & Recent Form

With the immense length of this course, it goes without saying that driving distance will play a huge role. There could be some three-shot holes for the guys that are shorter off the tee just to get to the green. This course is going to play tough, based on the length, but also based on the pin placements. There are likely to be some very hard to get pins.

Along with distance off the tee, proximity on 175+ and 200+ will be huge this week because you’re going to see a lot of long irons or fairway metal shots into the putting surfaces. We could see some carnage at Kiawah to be sure.

As far as some notable recent form guys, keep in mind that a lot of the players at the top of the odds board have played sparingly since The Masters. The Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow was a big draw and there was a better field than expected last week for the AT&T Byron Nelson, but a lot of guys in this field have laid low more often than not.

Sam Burns is in outstanding form. Burns won the Valspar Championship and then finished second this past weekend in the AT&T Byron Nelson. He’s +5000 this week. Another player in good form lately is a much shorter price in Jordan Spieth at +1400, who won the Valero Texas Open. Same with the favorite in Rory McIlroy, who won the Wells Fargo.

Daniel Berger also played extremely well last week with a top-five finish.

PGA Championship Picks

As mentioned, driving distance and proximity to the hole with long irons and fairway metals will be my two most important metrics this week.

Morikawa easily leads the field in proximity to the hole from 175-200. Guys that grade well in that metric or in proximity to the hole from 200-225 are guys like Rahm, Marc Leishman, Hovland, Ryan Palmer, Paul Casey, and Patrick Cantlay.

Rahm is my favorite pick this week at +1400. If The Masters had 18 more holes, Rahm probably would have won.

Another player on my list is Leishman at +6000, who grades well in key metrics here and is also a strong wind player with those expected to be a factor this week.

Lastly, I’ll also take a long shot look at Ryan Palmer at +22500. Palmer hits the ball far and has done really well to get reasonable putts with long approach shots.

Coverage of the PGA Championship will be on ESPN, ESPN+, and CBS this week.

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BETTING ODDS FOR THE 2021 PGA CHAMPIONSHIP

Rory McIlroy 1200
Jon Rahm 1400
Justin Thomas 1400
Bryson DeChambeau 1600
Jordan Spieth 1600
Dustin Johnson 1800
Viktor Hovland 2200
Xander Schauffele 2200
Collin Morikawa 3000
Daniel Berger 3000
Cameron Smith 4000
Hideki Matsuyama 4000
Patrick Cantlay 4000
Patrick Reed 4000
Tony Finau 4000
Webb Simpson 4000
Brooks Koepka 4500
Scottie Scheffler 4500
Tyrrell Hatton 4500
Abraham Ancer 5000
Sam Burns 5000
Marc Leishman 6000
Matthew Fitzpatrick 6000
Will Zalatoris 6000
Corey Conners 6600
Joaquin Niemann 6600
Tommy Fleetwood 7000
Louis Oosthuizen 8000
Paul Casey 8000
Shane Lowry 8000
Sungjae Im 8000
Justin Rose 9000
Matt Wallace 9000
Brian Harman 10000
Charl Schwartzel 10000
Bubba Watson 11000
Emilian Grillo 11000
Si Woo Kim 11000
Adam Scott 12500
Gary Woodland 12500
Jason Day 12500
Jason Kokrak 12500
Sergio Garcia 12500
Harris English 13500
Cameron Tringale 15000
Garrick Higgo 15000
Max Homa 15000
Robert MacIntyre 15000
Russell Henley 15000
Stewart Cink 15000
Alex Noren 17500
Chris Kirk 17500
Lee Westwood 17500
Thomas Pieters 17500
Billy Horschel 20000
Branden Grace 20000
Kyoung Hoon Lee 20000
Matt Kuchar 20000
Rickie Fowler 20000
Carlos Ortiz 22500
Charley Hoffman 22500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 22500
Matt Jones 22500
Ryan Palmer 22500
Cameron Champ 25000
Ian Poulter 25000
Kevin Na 25000
Victor Perez 25000
Aaron Wise 30000
Cameron Davis 30000
Danny Willett 30000
Francesco Molinari 30000
Harold Varner III 30000
Kevin Streelman 30000
Phil Mickelson 30000
Sebastian Munoz 30000
Bernd Wiesberger 35000
Brendon Todd 35000
Dean Burmester 35000
Dylan Frittelli 35000
Henrik Stenson 35000
Joel Dahmen 35000
John Catlin 35000
Kevin Kisner 35000
Lanto Griffin 35000
Talor Gooch 35000
Zach Johnson 35000
Antoine Rozner 40000
Brendan Steele 40000
Erik Van Rooyen 40000
Mackenzie Hughes 40000
Martin Kaymer 40000
Sam Horsfield 40000
Thomas Detry 40000
Aaron Rai 50000
Adam Hadwin 50000
Adam Long 50000
Andy Sullivan 50000
Brandon Stone 50000
Byeong Hun An 50000
Chan Kim 50000
Chez Reavie 50000
Denny McCarthy 50000
George Coetzee 50000
Harry Higgs 50000
Jason Dufner 50000
Jazz Janewattananond 50000
Jimmy Walker 50000
JT. Poston 50000
Kalle Samooja 50000
Kurt Kitayama 50000
Lucas Herbert 50000
Martin Laird 50000
Maverick McNealy 50000
Rasmus Hojgaard 50000
Richy Werenski 50000
Rikuya Hoshino 50000
Steve Stricker 50000
Takumi Kanaya 50000
Tom Hoge 50000
Tom Lewis 50000
Brain Gay 75000
Daniel van Tonder 75000
Hudson Swafford 75000
Jason Scrivener 75000
Jim Herman 75000
Padraig Harrington 75000
Peter Malnati 75000
Robert Streb 75000
Sami Valimaki 75000
John Daly 100000
Vijay Singh 100000
YE. Yang 100000
Omar Uresti 150000
Alex Beach 250000
Ben Cook 250000
Ben Pollard 250000
Brad Marek 250000
Daniel Balin 250000
Derek Holmes 250000
Frank Bensel 250000
Greg Koch 250000
Joe Summerhays 250000
Larkin Gross 250000
Mark Geddes 250000
Patrick Rada 250000
Peter Ballo 250000
Rich Beem 250000
Rob Labritz 250000
Shaun Micheel 250000
Sonny Skinner 250000
Stuart Smith 250000
Tim Pearce 250000
Tyler Collet 250000

 

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