Looking to win big? The Ducks and Trojans face off at 10:30 ET on ESPN. The Trojans are hosting the game at Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA. Oregon is favored by -2 in this Pac-12 conference contest against USC. The game’s over/under currently sits at 149.5 points.


The Pick: USC Trojans +2

This game will be played at Galen Center at 10:30 ET on Thursday, February 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Trojans.
  • Not only will USC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Does Oregon Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

After a loss to Arizona, Oregon is 14-6 overall and 6-3 in Pac-12 play. On the road, the Ducks are 3-3 with an average scoring margin of -3.2. They are 12-1 as the favorite this season.

So far, Oregon has been much better at home (11-2) compared to on the road. They have a +10.2 average scoring margin at home, while they are -3.2 on the road.

As the favorite this season, Oregon has gone 8-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Ducks are 6-4 ATS. On the road, Oregon is 3-3 vs. the spread this year and has gone 3-6 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Oregon’s games this year (146.6). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

In their previous game, the Ducks’ offense finished with 78 points, which is right in line with their current average of 78.2 points per contest. Jermaine Couisnard is leading the team in scoring at 14.9 points per contest. Jackson Shelstad has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.4 going into the game.

At this time, the Ducks’ defense is positioned 200th in the country, permitting 72.9 points per game. In their previous game vs. Arizona, the Wildcats finished with a field goal percentage of 44% and a total of 87 points vs. Oregon.

Will the Trojans Exceed Expectations at Home?

USC enters this matchup with an 8-12 record, including a 2-7 mark in Pac-12 play. They have lost five straight games, including a 65-50 defeat against UCLA in their most recent outing. The Trojans are 6-5 at home this season, compared to a 2-7 record on the road.

So far this year, USC has been the underdog in six games, going 0-6 in those contests. For the season, they have been the favorite in 14 games, posting an 8-6 record.

As the underdog, USC has gone 2-4 vs. the spread this season. At home, the Trojans have an ATS mark of 5-6 and have gone 4-6 ATS in their last 10 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for USC games is 13-7, and today’s line of 149.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (147.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points, which is lower than today’s line.

In their most recent game, the USC offense concluded with only 50 points against UCLA. Throughout the game, they made 6/13 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 35.4%. Leading USC in scoring vs. UCLA was Oziyah Sellers with his 10 points. Kobe Johnson also added 8 points for the Trojans.

At present, the Trojans’ defense is nationally ranked 230th, allowing 74.7 points per game. The USC defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 65 points and allowed UCLA to connect on 6 threes.