On Saturday, December 30th, the Nittany Lions are hosting the Rebels at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This week 1 college football matchup kicks off at 12:00 ET with ESPN carrying the television coverage. Penn State is set to take on the Rebels in this non-conference matchup, and they are favored by 3.5 at home. Read on for my thoughts and betting angles.

OLE MISS REBELS VS PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Ole Miss Rebels +3.5

This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, December 30th.

WHY BET THE OLE MISS REBELS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 26-24 in favor of Penn State.
  • Even though we have Penn State winning straight-up, we like Ole Miss at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 49.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 50 points.

Are the Rebels Ready for a Road Win?

This season, the Ole Miss Rebels are currently 10-2. So far this season, they have played five road games and six at home.

Against the spread, Ole Miss has gone 5-4-2 this season. The Rebels have been favored eight times compared to three games as the underdog.

This season, Ole Miss has posted an over/under record of 4-7 through 12 games. On average their games have combined for 57.2 points.

Heading into their matchup vs. Penn State, the Rebels’ offense is averaging 179.6 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 44th rank in rushing yards and 31st rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 276.6 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Ole Miss is at 34.8 points per game, which is 23rd in the NCAA.

Defensively, the Rebels defense has come up with 34 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 22.3 points per contest (81st). Against the pass, they are 86th in the NCAA, having allowed 220 passing yards allowed per game. Ole Miss is giving up 151.9 rushing yards per contest.

Can the Penn State Offense Score Enough at Home?

The Penn State Nittany Lions take on the Ole Miss with a 10-2 record, including 4-1 on the road and 5-1 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Ole Miss, the Nittany Lions have been favored in nine games and the underdog in two. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 8-3.

So far this season, Penn State boasts an over/under record of 5-6. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 48.6 points, while the average over/under line has been 46 points.

Penn State comes into the game with an offense averaging 37.2, which places them at 17th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 91st nationally, with an average of 204.3 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 32nd in the nation, with 484 rushing attempts per game for the season.

On defense, Penn State comes into the game ranked 194th in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 24.9 times per contest vs. the Nittany Lions. Overall, they are giving up 11.4 points per game, which is 50th in college football. Against the run, they are 6th in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.