At 3:00 ET on Saturday, November 18th, the Mean Green travel to take on the Golden Hurricane. This CFB week 12 matchup will take place at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium in Tulsa with ESPN+ carrying television coverage. This face-off between two American Athletic conference rivals sees the Mean Green as the 2.5 point favorites on the road. Can they secure a win away from home and cover the spread?


The Pick: North Texas Mean Green -2.5

This game will be played at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium at 3:00 ET on Saturday, November 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 37-32 in favor of North Texas.
  • Not only will North Texas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 67 points, and we like the over with a projected 69 points.

Can North Texas Pull Off a Road Win?

This season, the North Texas Mean Green are currently 3-7. So far this season, they have played five road games and four at home.

North Texas has gone into two games as the favorite this season and seven games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 5-3-1.

Across 10 games, the average over/under line in North Texas’ matchups is 63.2 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 70.9 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-5.

On offense, North Texas comes into the game averaging 33.4, which is 28th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 295.5 passing yards (16th) compared to 45th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 354 rushing attempts per contest.

So far this season, the Mean Green’s defense has given up 266.4 rushing yards per game against the run (27th). Opponents are averaging 211.9 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 93.5 against North Texas. In terms of points allowed, they are 3rd in the NCAA.

Will Tulsa Win at Home?

So far, the Tulsa Golden Hurricane are 3-7, including going 1-4 on the road and 1-2 at home.

Tulsa has gone into two games as the favorite this season and six games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 4-3-1.

Tulsa has put together an over/under record of 3-5 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 56.8 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 55.8 points.

As they prepare to face the North Texas, the Golden Hurricane’s offense is averaging 184.8 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 32nd in rushing yards and 105th in passing yards, on an average of 190.8 yards per matchup. Tulsa has averaged 22.4 points per game so far. This figure places them 82nd in the nation.

The Golden Hurricane defense heads into this week’s matchup with 13 sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 34.4 points per game (135th). In the pass defense department, they’re 169th nationally, giving up 288 passing yards per game. Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Tulsa’s defense is allowing 147.2 rushing yards per contest.