At 5:30 ET on Wednesday, December 27th, the Tar Heels travel to take on the Mountaineers. This CFB week 1 matchup will take place at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte with ESPN carrying television coverage. West Virginia is set to take on the Tar Heels in this non-conference matchup, and they are favored by 4 at home. Read on for my analysis and betting angles.

NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS VS WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels +4

This game will be played at Bank of America Stadium at 5:30 ET on Wednesday, December 27th.

WHY BET THE NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 31-27 in favor of West Virginia.
  • Even though we have West Virginia winning straight-up, we like North Carolina at +4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 57 points, and we like the over with a projected 58 points.

Can the Tar Heels Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

The North Carolina Tar Heels take on the West Virginia with a 8-4 record, including 1-3 on the road and 4-1 at home.

North Carolina has gone into eight games as the favorite this season and one game as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 5-4.

Heading into this week’s game, North Carolina’s over/under record is 4-4-1. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +6.1 with their games averaging 63.7 points per game.

North Carolina’s offense is averaging 36.6 points per game, which ranks them 18th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 306.8 passing yards on average, putting them at 11th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 19th in rushing yards, with an average of 456 rushing attempts per game this season.

Looking at this week’s game, the North Carolina defense stands at 106th in points allowed, permitting 27.1 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 242.3 passing yards per game against them (130th). On the ground, they’re conceding 164.6 rushing yards, ranking them 111th in college football.

Can the Mountaineers Grab a Win at Home?

This season, the West Virginia Mountaineers are currently 8-4. So far this season, they have played six road games and five at home.

West Virginia’s average scoring differential for the season is +4.1 leading to an ATS mark of 6-5. The Mountaineers have been favored six times and the underdog in five games

So far in this season, West Virginia has posted an over/under record of 7-4. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 59.1 points, with the typical over/under line set at 52.3 points.

As they prepare to face the North Carolina, the Mountaineers’ offense is averaging 235.8 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 4th in rushing yards and 92nd in passing yards, on an average of 203.8 yards per matchup. West Virginia has averaged 31.6 points per game so far. This figure places them 39th in the nation.

The Mountaineers’ defense has allowed 145.6 rushing yards per game this season, ranking 146th. Opponents are averaging 239.9 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 94.9 against West Virginia. They currently rank 44th in points allowed in the NCAA.