Reese Olson will get the start for the Tigers (59-71, 28-37 home) as they host the Yankees (62-68, 26-35 away) at Comerica Park. The Yankees will give the starting nod to Luis Severino. Check out my prediction for game one of this American League matchup between the New York Yankees and Detroit Tigers.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, August 28th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK YANKEES:

  • The Yankees will be taking on a Tigers club that is just 2-3 vs. the runline over their last five games.
  • Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Tigers are just 4-6 against the runline.
  • Reese Olson has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 8.36 over his last five starts.

NEW YORK YANKEES STRUGGLING VS RUNLINE OF LATE

With an overall record of 62-68, the Yankees are 5th in the AL East. When playing at home, they are 36-33 and 26-35. So far, New York has a record of 23-23 against below .500 teams and have played in 42 series, going 16-19-7.

The Yankees will turn to starter Luis Severino, who has an overall record of 3-8 this season. In 16 appearances, his ERA is 7.26 and his K/9 figure stands at 7.63. Severino’s FIP is 6.53 and opponents are hitting .360 against him on-base percentage (OBP).

Luis Severino notched a victory and a quality start in his last outing, leading the Yankees to a 9-1 triumph over Washington. He yielded no runs and one hit in 6 2/3 frames.

So far this season, the Yankees’ has gone deep 181 times, placing them 6th in the league. Over New York’s previous five games, they are 19th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.2 runs per game putting them 20th in the league. The Yankees’ overall team batting average stands at .229 along with an OBP of .303.

Over the Yankees’ past ten contests, Aaron Judge has hit six home runs, the most of any player on the team. His season-long total now stands at 28 long balls, and he holds a .266 batting average.

WILL THE DETROIT TIGERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Entering with a record of 59-71, the Tigers are in 3rd place in the AL Central and are losers of two straight games. So far, they have a road win percentage of 47.7% compared to 43.1% at home. Detroit’s overall series record stands at 17-21-5.

Reese Olson, the Detroit starter, has an overall record of 2-5 and an ERA of 5.29. On the road, Olson’s ERA is 5.61 while at home it is 6.07. His WHIP for the season stands at 1.25 with a batting average allowed of .240 and opposing teams have slugged .417 against him.

Reese Olson recently faced the Cubs, surrendering six runs and four hits in 4 2/3 innings. Despite not earning a decision, the Tigers emerged victorious 8-6.

Having gone deep 14 times in their last ten games, the Tigers are 8th in that span. At 4 runs per game, Detroit is 25th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .234 while hitting a total of 133 home runs (21st).

Spencer Torkelson is the Tigers’ home-run king in 2023, leading the team with 23 round-trippers and 68 RBIs. His slugging percentage for the year is .436.