Edward Cabrera will get the start for the Marlins (78-72, 43-32 home) as they host the Mets (69-80, 30-44 away) at loanDepot Park. The Mets will give the starting nod to Jose Butto. Check out my prediction for game one of this NL East matchup between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins.
NEW YORK METS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets +138
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, September 18th.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:
- In their last ten games as the underdog, the Mets have put together a record of 6-4.
- Miami is on a four game winning streak when the underdog.
- The Mets have gone 0-3 in Edward Cabrera’s last three starts.
NEW YORK METS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD
Through 149 games, the Mets have a record of 69-80. This mark includes going 16-25-6 across their 47 series. Currently, New York is 4th in the NL East and have a 39-36 record at home while going 30-44 on the road. So far, the Mets have gone 40-50 against teams with above .500 records.
Jose Butto has taken the mound six times this season, boasting an ERA of 3.46. His record stands at 1-2 heading into today’s matchup against the Marlins, and he is looking to extend his streak of not allowing a home-run to five games. Opponents have had difficulty hitting off Butto, with a SLG% of .275 and a batting average of .196.
Jose Butto earned the win in his most recent start against the Diamondbacks, surrendering one run on two hits over six innings. The Mets emerged victorious with a 7-4 scoreline.
Having gone deep 11 times in their last ten games, the Mets are 6th in that span. At 4.4 runs per game, New York is 20th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .239 while hitting a total of 196 home runs (10th).
The Mets’ Brandon Nimmo leads the team in hits this season, boasting a .266 batting average. His slugging percentage is .455 and on-base percentage is .356 entering the game.
WILL THE MIAMI MARLINS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
The Marlins will be looking for their 4th straight win in today’s game and have an overall record of 78-72. At home, Miami has put together a record of 43-32 while going 35-40 on the road. Currently, they are in 3rd place in the NL East.
Edward Cabrera has had a mixed season thus far, evidenced by his 6-7 record and 4.52 ERA. On the road, he has been unable to secure a win in 11 outings, posting an ERA of 6.78 and 0-7 record. However, at home he has been impressive with a 6-0 mark and 2.81 ERA. His WHIP for the season stands at 1.44 while opponents have managed to hit just .198 against him with a slugging percentage of .349.
Edward Cabrera was on the losing end of a 3-1 decision against the Brewers, surrendering two runs on one hit in 4 2/3 innings. Despite the defeat, Cabrera put together a solid performance, but it wasn’t enough to get the Marlins a victory.
The Marlins have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 15 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 3rd best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 20th in home runs and 17th in slugging percentage. Overall, Miami is averaging 4.2 runs per game (24th).
The Miami Marlins have seen Luis Arraez shine in their last ten games, as the second baseman leads the team with four home runs. His season-long total now stands at 10, and he’s batting an impressive .353 overall.