The Mets (58-67, 27-39 away) travel to take on the Braves (80-43, 42-21 home) in game one of this NL East matchup. David Peterson is getting the start for the Mets while Allan Winans is starting for the Braves. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves showdown at Truist Park.

NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Monday, August 21st.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:

  • In their last ten games, the Mets have gone 6-4 vs. the runline.
  • As the road favorite, the Mets’ runline win streak currently stands at two games.
  • Opponents are hitting just .203 against David Peterson in his last three starts.

NEW YORK METS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD

For the season, the Mets have an overall record of 58-67, placing them 4th in the NL East. Against other NL East opponents, they are 17-17 along with going 31-28 and 27-39 at home and on the road, respectively. So far, they have played a total of 39 series, going 14-20-5.

David Peterson has had 20 starts this season, and his record stands at 3-7. His ERA is 5.45, and he has allowed a home run in each of his last two outings. Peterson’s WHIP is 1.65, while the OBP against him is .363. The lefty has 79 strikeouts to 36 walks in his strikeout to walk ratio.

In David Peterson’s last outing, the Mets fell to the Pirates 7-4, despite his 3 2/3 innings of work. The lefty allowed one run on three hits, but was unable to secure a decision in the contest.

Offensively, New York is ranked 17th in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Mets averaged 7 runs per contest, which is 3rd best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, New York is 8th in all of baseball, with a total of 161 home runs.

Pete Alonso has been a major force in the Mets’ offense over their last five games, leading the team with four home runs. The slugger has amassed a total of 39 long balls this season, while maintaining a batting average of .224.

WILL THE ATLANTA BRAVES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

The Braves will be playing their 123rd game of the season today and are 1st in the NL East on a record of 80-43. So far, Atlanta has won 66.7% of their games at home compared to 63.3% on the road. Against divisional opponents, the Braves are 25-7 and have played a total of 39 series, going 27-9-3.

Starter Allan Winans has been a bright spot in the Braves’ rotation so far in 2023, with an overall record of 1-0. In two appearances, he has posted an impressive ERA of 1.59 and a K/9 rate of 11.12. His FIP is also quite strong at 1.85, while his OBP stands at .283.

In his most recent start, Allan Winans earned the win in a 21-3 rout of the Mets. The right-hander tossed seven scoreless innings, yielding just four hits in a quality performance.

As a team, Atlanta has scuffled at the plate over their last ten games, with a combined batting average of just .185. Compared to other teams, this is just 28th in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .499% while going deep a total of 235 times (1st). Overall, the Braves are 1st in the MLB at 5.8 runs per contest.

Eddie Rosario has been a major contributor to the Braves’ offensive success this season, as he leads the team with 19 home runs over the course of their last ten games. His batting average stands at .260, making him one of the most consistent hitters in the lineup.