The Aggies and Gamecocks are set to face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The Gamecocks will host the game at Pete Mathews Coliseum in Jacksonville, AL. The over/under for this Conference USA conference contest is set at 132.5 points, with Jacksonville State being favored by -8.5 at home against New Mexico State.


The Pick: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -8.5

This game will be played at Pete Mathews Coliseum at 5:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Gamecocks.
  • Not only will Jacksonville State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can the Aggies Lock in a Road Win?

With a record of 11-18, New Mexico State has struggled this season, especially on the road. In fact, the Aggies have yet to win a game away from home, going 0-14.

Overall, New Mexico State has lost six straight games, with their most recent game being an 83-58 loss to Liberty. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Aggies are 0-10.

As the underdog, New Mexico State has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 6-13. Their ATS record on the road is 4-10, and they have not covered the spread in any of their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies are just 1-9 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico State’s games this season (140.1). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 134 points.

In their latest game, New Mexico State offense put up 58 points against Liberty. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40.6% and made 5 threes. The team’s top scorer is Christian Cook, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 10.4, while Femi Odukale also carries a PPG average of 10.9 into the game.

New Mexico State’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.2 points per game. New Mexico State’s three-point defense is currently 160th in the country at 7.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.4% of their shots vs. New Mexico State.

Will Jacksonville State Win at Home?

Through 29 games, Jacksonville State has a record of 14-15 and is 6-8 in Conference USA. The Gamecocks are 7-6 at home compared to 5-9 on the road.

As the favorite, Jacksonville State has gone 8-5. For the year, the Gamecocks have been favored in 13 of their 29 games.

As the favorite this season, Jacksonville State has gone 7-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gamecocks are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Jacksonville State’s games this season (135.2). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 143 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Jacksonville State offense tallied 65 points in a matchup against UTEP. Their field goal percentage for the game was 48.7%, and they made 6 threes. One area that the Jacksonville State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 121st in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 45%.

The Gamecocks’ defense is presently ranked 32nd nationally, allowing an average of 65.6 points per contest. Jacksonville State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the UTEP offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 72 points.