Planning on watching today’s Lobos and Aggies game? Catch the action at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT, as the Aggies hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on CBSS. The over/under for this game is set at 160.5 points, and Utah State is favored by -3.5 vs. New Mexico in a Mountain West conference matchup.


The Pick: Utah State Aggies -3.5

This game will be played at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum at 8:30 ET on Saturday, March 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Not only will Utah State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 160.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Lobos Lock in a Road Win?

After a 79-58 win over Fresno State, New Mexico heads to Utah State as 3.5-point underdogs. The Lobos are 22-8 overall, including a 9-7 record in the Mountain West. On the road, they are 8-5 this year, and their average scoring margin is +5.0.

Over their last 10 road games, the Lobos have gone 6-4, and they are 3-2 in their previous five contests away from home. New Mexico’s record as an underdog is 1-4, and they have lost two straight road games.

As the underdog this season, New Mexico has an ATS record of just 1-4 and they are 3-6-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-6 for the year and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 16-12. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 153.1 and today’s line of 160.5 is higher than that. Throughout their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Coming off a good offensive performance, New Mexico’s offense scored 79 points against Fresno State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 38%, and they went 10/12 from the free-throw line. The top scorer for the Lobos was Jamal Mashburn JR with 19 points, while JT Toppin also chipped in with 15 points.

New Mexico’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. Fresno State, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 38% and a total of 58 points vs. New Mexico.

Can Utah State Pull Off a Home Win?

Utah State enters tonight’s game against New Mexico as the favorite, as they have been in 22 of their 30 games this season. As the favorite, the Aggies have gone 21-1, and they come in with a three-game win streak.

On the season, Utah State has been dominant at home, going 13-1, and they have a scoring margin of +12.7 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, the Aggies have gone 9-1.

As the favorite this season, Utah State has gone 14-7-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies are 5-4-1 vs. the spread. At home, Utah State is 9-5 ATS this year and 6-4 ATS over their last 10 home games.

Utah State’s over/under record this season is 14-12. On average, their games have finished with 147.7 points compared to an average over/under line of 144.6, resulting in an average margin of 3.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 160.5 is higher than the over/under lines in 26 of their games. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 146 points.

The Utah State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 90 points vs. San Jose State. Overall their field goal percentage was 53.4% while connecting on 16 threes. Darius Brown II led the scoring for the Aggies, contributing 21 points. Additionally, Mason Falslev chipped in with 20 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Utah State defense is giving up an average of 69.1 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.7 threes per game vs. New Mexico. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 26.5%.