Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Wolf Pack and Aztecs. The game is starting at 11:00 ET on CBSS, and it’s hosted by the Aztecs at Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Mountain West conference contest is set at 139.5 points, with the Aztecs being the favored team playing at home against the Wolf Pack.

NEVADA WOLF PACK VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -6.5

This game will be played at Viejas Arena at 11:00 ET on Wednesday, January 17th.

WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Aztecs.
  • Not only will San Diego State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Taking a Look at the Wolf Pack Chances in San Diego

After losing their last game to Boise State, the Nevada Wolf Pack will look to bounce back on the road against San Diego State. So far this season, Nevada has been the underdog in two games, going 2-0 in those contests.

On the road, the Wolf Pack have been very successful, going 6-1 this season. Over their last five road games, Nevada has gone a perfect 5-0.

As the underdog this season, Nevada has gone 2-0 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-1 and over their last 10 road games, they are 7-3. For the year, the Wolf Pack’s ATS record is 11-6.

This season, the over/under record for Nevada is 7-10 and today’s line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (143.5). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 123 points and their over/under record during that stretch is 0-3.

In their most recent game, the Nevada offense put up just 56 points vs. the Boise State Broncos. Overall, they are now averaging 77.1 points per game which is 127th in the country. Kenan Blackshear led the scoring for the Wolf Pack, contributing 15 points. Additionally, Jarod Lucas chipped in with 14 points.

At present, the Wolf Pack’s defense is nationally ranked 21st, allowing 63.3 points per game. Nevada’s three-point defense is currently 119th in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 36.9% of their shots vs. Nevada.

Can San Diego State Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

San Diego State comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 11 of their 17 games this season. They have gone 10-1 in those games, and they are 8-0 at home this season. Over their last 10 games at home, they are 10-0.

Last time out, they fell to New Mexico by a score of 88-70, and they are 14-3 overall this season. In conference play, they are 3-1, and they are 11-2 in non-conference games. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +12.9, and their average scoring margin on the road is +.9.

San Diego State has an ATS record of 6-9 this season and is 4-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aztecs have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in San Diego State’s games this season (141.1). So far, 8 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Coming off their recent game, the San Diego State offense tallied 70 points in a matchup against New Mexico. Their field goal percentage for the game was 40.6%, and they made 7 threes. Jaedon LeDee led the team in scoring, putting up 15 points. Additionally, Miles Byrd contributed 13 points for the Aztecs.

So far, the Aztecs’ defense is ranked 76th in the country at 67.3 points per contest. San Diego State’s three-point defense is currently 74th in the country at 6.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.2% of their shots vs. San Diego State.