Planning on watching today’s Bulldogs and Tigers game? Catch the action at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN, as the Tigers hosts this showdown at 1:00 ET on SECN. Mississippi State is favored by -5.5 in this Southeastern conference matchup the against LSU. The over/under for the game is set at 145 points.

MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS VS LSU TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: LSU Tigers +5.5

This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena at 1:00 ET on Thursday, March 14th.

WHY BET THE LSU TIGERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Not only will LSU pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Bulldogs Defense Show Up in Nashville?

After starting the season 16-5, Mississippi State has lost six of their last 10 games, including three in a row. They are 19-12 overall and 8-9 in the Southeastern Conference. On the road, the Bulldogs are 6-8, and their average scoring margin is +1.5.

For the season, Mississippi State has been favored in 22 of their 31 games, going 17-5 in those games. They are favored by 5.5 points today, and the over/under is set at 145. In their last game, the Bulldogs lost to Texas A&M, 75-69.

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 14-15-1 this season and they are 12-9-1 vs. the spread as the favorite. On the road, the Bulldogs have gone 6-8 vs. the spread this year and they have a 3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 road games. Over their last three games as the favorite, Mississippi State is just 1-2 vs. the spread.

Mississippi State’s over/under record this season is 14-15-1, and today’s line of 145 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (141.1). This year, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line, including their last three games (155 average points scored).

Against Texas A&M, the Mississippi State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 75.3 points per game. They scored 69 points and posted a field goal percentage of 49.1% in the game. Offensively, the Bulldogs hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 150th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 275th in terms of percentage and 186th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Mississippi State defense is giving up an average of 69.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Texas A&M, the Aggies finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 75 points vs. Mississippi State.

Do the Tigers Have What it Takes at Home?

LSU has been much better at home this season, going 13-6 compared to 4-8 on the road. They have won their last two games at home and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

On the season, LSU has been the underdog in 16 of their 31 games, going just 4-12 in those games. They have been the underdog in three of their last five games.

As the underdog this season, LSU has gone 6-10 vs. the spread. Their home ATS mark is just 7-12 this year and they are 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Tigers have a 4-6 ATS record.

This season, the over/under record for LSU games is 16-15, and today’s line of 145 is lower than the average OU line in their games (149.1). So far, 14 of their games have finished with fewer than 145 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 158 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

Coming off their recent game, the LSU offense tallied 84 points in a matchup against Missouri. Their field goal percentage for the game was 45.6%, and they made 6 threes. Trae Hannibal led the scoring for the Tigers, contributing 24 points. Additionally, Tyrell Ward chipped in with 14 points.

Currently, the Tigers’ defense holds the 248th rank in the nation, allowing 74.8 points per game. So far, the LSU defense is giving up an average of 10.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.6 times per game (668th).