With the series all square at 1-1, the Phillies (65-53, 34-23 home) are giving the start to Ranger Suárez while the Twins will send Sonny Gray to the mound. Check out who I see coming out on top in this Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins showdown at Citizens Bank Park.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -121
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, August 13th.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:
- In their previous ten games, the Phillies have a record of 7-3.
- The Twins are just 1-4 in their last five road games.
- The Twins are just 1-2 in Sonny Gray’s last five starts.
MINNESOTA TWINS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD
Leading up to today’s game, the Twins are 1st in the AL Central on a record of 61-58. Overall, they have played in 37 different series, going 17-16-4. When playing above .500 teams, the Twins are 61-58, and currently hold win percentages of 57.9% at home and 45.2% on the road.
Sonny Gray is currently 5-5 with an ERA of 3.18. On the road, he has a record of 2-3 and an ERA of 3.34, while at home he is 3-2 with a 3.09 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.24, and opponents are batting .232 against him with a slugging percentage of .323.
Sonny Gray’s most recent start ended in a 6-0 defeat to the Tigers, but he still put forth a quality performance. Over six innings, Gray allowed three runs and kept the Twins in the game.
For the season, the Twins’ offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 8th in the league in scoring, with a total of 49 runs. Overall, Minnesota’s team batting average is .237, putting them 18th in the MLB.
Joey Gallo is the Twins’ home-run leader in 2023, having blasted 20 long balls and driving in 38 runs. His slugging percentage is currently at a season-high .465.
WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
118 games into the season, the Phillies have a record of 65-53, putting them 2nd in the NL East. This mark includes an overall series 21-14-2. At home, they are 34-23 compared to 31-30 on the road.
Ranger Suárez is making his 17th appearance of the 2023 season with a record of 2-5. His ERA sits at 3.96, with opponents batting .273 against him. On the road, he has a 2-3 record and an ERA of 3.17, while at home he is 0-2 on an ERA of 6.51. Teams have a slugging percentage of .412 against him this season.
Ranger Suárez was unable to secure a win in his last start against the Nationals, as he finished with a no-decision. Over 5 2/3 innings, the left-hander allowed two runs on six hits, but ultimately the Phillies fell 5-4.
Across their last ten games, the Phillies’ offense is 5th in batting average, leading to an average of 6.1 runs per contest in that span. Overall, they are the 11th ranked scoring offense and posted a season-long OPS of .746 on 137 (14th).
Over the last five games, Trea Turner has been a force at the plate for the Phillies, leading the team in hits with a .530 batting average. This season, Turner is hitting .252 and has driven in 44 runs.