In this AL Central matchup, the Tigers (50-63, 24-33 home) play host to the Twins (60-55, 27-31 away) at Comerica Park. Taking the mound for the Tigers is Alex Faedo, while the Twins will go with Bailey Ober. Check out my pick for three of this Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins matchup.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Tigers +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, August 9th.

WHY BET THE DETROIT TIGERS:

  • Against the runline, the Tigers have gone 3-2 in their five games at home.
  • The Twins are just 3-7 vs. the runline in their last ten road games.
  • Bailey Ober has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 8.55 over his last two starts.

MINNESOTA TWINS LOOKING TO EXTEND AL CENTRAL LEAD

Currently, the Twins are 1st in the AL Central on an overall record of 60-55. Their season-long runline record is 54-61, which includes going 30-28 vs. the runline on the road. For the season, Minnesota has won less than half of their series away from home (6-9). The Twins’ over/under record this season comes in at 53-56.

Bailey Ober is making his 19th appearance of the season with a 6-5 record. His ERA stands at 3.21, and opponents are batting .232 against him. On the road, Ober has gone 4-2 with a 4.15 ERA, while his home record is 2-3 on an ERA of 3.10. For the year, teams have a slugging percentage of .392 when facing Ober.

Bailey Ober’s most recent outing saw him give up six hits over five innings, resulting in two earned runs. Although he did not factor into the decision, the Twins were able to come away with a 3-2 victory over the Diamondbacks.

During their last ten games, Minnesota is the 12th ranked offense in terms of batting average. In these games, they have hit a combined .247 and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. Across the entire season, the Twins are hitting .238 with an OBP of .316 while averaging 4.4 runs per contest. This figure puts them 16th in the league.

The Minnesota Twins’ lineup is without one of its key contributors today, as Byron Buxton is out due to injury. The center fielder has been a bright spot in the batting order this season, hitting .207 and slugging .438.

WILL THE DETROIT TIGERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

For the season, the Tigers have an overall record of 50-63, placing them 3rd in the AL Central. Against other AL Central opponents, they are 19-13 along with going 24-33 and 26-30 at home and on the road, respectively. So far, they have played a total of 37 series, going 15-18-4.

The Detroit Tigers will turn to Alex Faedo as their starter. The right-hander has a 2-4 record this season, with seven appearances under his belt. His ERA stands at 5.80, and he has a K/9 of 7.57. Additionally, Faedo’s FIP is 4.81 and his OBP is .253.

The Detroit Tigers earned a victory in Alex Faedo’s most recent start, defeating the San Diego Padres 3-1. The right-hander tossed six frames of one-hit baseball, surrendering no earned runs and claiming the win.

Over their last five games, the Tigers are ranked 13th in the league in scoring at 3.8 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 3.9 per contest puts them 27th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Detroit is 22nd, with an OBP currently sitting at .299. The team’s collective batting average is .233 (21st).

Spencer Torkelson has been one of the Detroit Tigers’ most reliable offensive contributors in 2023. The first baseman is batting .223, with 59 RBIs and 15 home runs so far this season.