At 9:00 ET, the Timberwolves (+218) will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets (-271) at Ball Arena. Minnesota is currently on a three-game win streak and sits in 2nd place in the Western Conference. Denver is favored by 6.5 points and is currently in 1st place in the West.

This divisional matchup will be shown on ALT.


The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +6.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Friday, March 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-108 in favor of the Timberwolves.
  • Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.6% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can the Timberwolves Pull Off a Road Win?

Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 37-34, and they have covered the spread in their last three road games. As the underdog, they are 10-6 ATS this season.

This year, 68 of Minnesota’s games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 211.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 36-36, and their games have averaged 219.4 points per game.

In their last game against the Pistons, the teams combined for just 197 points, falling short of the O/U line of 217. Minnesota won the game by a score of 106-91, covering the spread as 16.5-point favorites.

The Timberwolves are currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 50-22. In the West, they have gone 34-12 compared to 16-10 against the East. On the road, Minnesota is 24-13 and has won three straight games.

As the underdog, Minnesota has a record of 8-8 this season. Their scoring differential as the underdog is -0.5 points per game. The Timberwolves are 27-28 ATS as the favorite and have been the underdog in 16 of their games.

Minnesota is one of the most efficient three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 1st in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. Overall, they are 10th in field goal percentage at 48%. In terms of scoring, they are 18th in the league at 113.1 points per game.

When it comes to pace, the Timberwolves are 21st in the league at 97 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 16th in the league at 26.5 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 25th in the league at 9.5 per game.

On the road, Minnesota is averaging 114.6 points per game compared to 111.4 at home. In terms of free throws, they are 13th in the league at 17.7 made per game. Overall, they are 9th in true shooting percentage.

Minnesota’s defense has been playing well, ranking 1st in the NBA with 106.3 points allowed per game. Opponents are hitting 50.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.2% of their three-point attempts.

Can Denver Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

The Nuggets are 33-38 against the spread this season, going 18-17 ATS at home and 15-21 ATS on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in three straight road games.

Denver is 28-33 vs. the spread as the favorite this season and has gone 47-16 straight-up as the favorite. In today’s game, they are favored by 6.5 points and have gone 63-10 as the favorite this season.

In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are in 1st place with a record of 51-22. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 29-16 and 22-6 in non-conference games.

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 29-42-2, with an average over/under line of 226.5. In their last game vs. the Suns, the teams combined for 201 points, which was well below the O/U line of 228.5.

In the Nuggets’ last game, they lost to the Suns by a score of 104-97. Denver was favored by 5.5 points in that game, giving them an ATS loss.

When playing at home this season, the Nuggets are averaging 118.4 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 114.6 points per game. Despite being one of the top teams in assists, Denver is 28th in pace with just 96 possessions per game.

Denver’s offense is one of the most efficient in the league, ranking 5th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 29th in free throw attempts and makes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 11th in percentage but are last in three-point attempts.

So far, Denver has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 47.9% of their games. When it comes to two-point shooting, the Nuggets are 9th in percentage at 56%. Overall, they have made the 2nd most two-pointers in the league.

In the current season, the Nuggets defense has excelled, sitting 7th in the NBA by allowing 109.9 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.5% and allowing 35.7% from beyond the arc.