Going into game three of this National League showdown, the Marlins (80-75, 45-35 home) are giving the start to Edward Cabrera. On the other side, the Brewers (88-67, 43-37 away) are rolling with Freddy Peralta. Don’t miss my prediction for today’s Milwaukee Brewers versus Miami Marlins game in Miami.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Runs
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, September 24th.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS:
- In their last ten games, the Brewers have gone 7-3 vs. the runline.
- The Brewers have put together a 2-1 record vs. the runline in their last three games as the favorite.
- Edward Cabrera has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 7.06 over his last five starts.
CAN THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?
Through 155 games, the Brewers have a record of 88-67. This mark includes going 28-19-2 across their 49 series. Currently, Milwaukee is 1st in the NL Central and have a 45-30 record at home while going 43-37 on the road. So far, the Brewers have gone 43-35 against teams with above .500 records.
Freddy Peralta takes the mound for the Brewers with a 12-9 record. He has made 29 appearances this season, boasting an ERA of 3.71 and a K/9 of 11.4. Additionally, Peralta’s FIP stands at 3.75, and his OBP is .271.
The Brewers’ Freddy Peralta was handed the loss in their 1-0 defeat to the Cardinals, surrendering one run over six innings pitched.
The Brewers have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 10 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 1st best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 23rd in home runs and 23rd in slugging percentage. Overall, Milwaukee is averaging 4.6 runs per game (16th).
The Milwaukee Brewers have seen Carlos Santana lead the way offensively over their last ten games, with three home runs. His season-long total stands at 22, while his batting average is .235.
WILL THE MIAMI MARLINS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Leading up to today’s game, the Marlins are 3rd in the NL East on a record of 80-75. Overall, they have played in 50 different series, going 24-24-2. When playing above .500 teams, the Marlins are 80-75, and currently hold win percentages of 56.2% at home and 46.7% on the road.
Starter Edward Cabrera has had an up-and-down season for the Marlins, currently boasting a 6-7 record in 20 appearances. His ERA stands at 4.35, while his K/9 figure is 10.88 and FIP is 4.53. Opposing batters have been able to muster a .323 OBP against him this season.
Edward Cabrera’s most recent outing for the Marlins saw him go 5 1/3 innings, surrendering one run on four hits. Unfortunately, despite his solid performance, the team was unable to come away with a win as they fell 2-1 to the Mets. As a result, Cabrera was handed a no-decision.
For the season, the Marlins are 5th in batting average, hitting a combined .258. Over their last ten games, they have hit .273 which is 4th in that span. Miami’s average of 4.1 runs per game puts them 25th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 160 times and have a team slugging percentage of .405.
Jorge Soler has been one of the Miami Marlins’ most reliable offensive contributors in 2023. The slugger has a .245 batting average and has driven in 73 runs, while also swatting 36 home runs.