At 2:20 PM from Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have an NL matchup between the Marlins and Cubs. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Marlins are 4-16 compared to the Cubs at 12-7. Javier Assad is starting for the Cubs, and he is up against Jesús Luzardo for Miami.

Chicago is the favorite at -158, and the over/under line is sitting at 8 runs. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by BSFL.

CHICAGO CUBS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -158

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 2:20 ET on Saturday, April 20th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS CUBS:

  • We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Chicago cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were favored at -173 on the money line.

Jameson Taillon only went five innings for the Cubs but gave up just one run and three hits. A.J. Puk struggled on the mound for the Marlins, giving up seven runs in three innings of work. He did finish the game with four strikeouts.

At the plate, the Cubs were led by Dansby Swanson and Nico Hoerner, who each had two hits and an RBI. Cody Bellinger also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. Miami’s top hitter was Bryan De La Cruz, who went 1/4 with a home run.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is currently on a two-game losing streak and has a record of 4-16. In the NL East, they are in 5th place and trail the Braves by 10 games. So far, they have yet to win a series, going 0-6.

When playing at home, the Marlins are 2-11 compared to 2-5 on the road. Miami is still looking for their first series win, as they are currently on a six-series losing streak.

When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog. They are 6-7 against the run line when getting the runs, but 0-7 as the favorite. Their average run differential is -2.0 runs per game, but they are 3-4 against the run line on the road.

The Miami Marlins have had 20 games with an over/under line this season. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 12-8. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their games have had an over/under line of 8 runs in 3 of their games. Their games have had an over/under line of 8 runs in 75% of their games this season.

Jesús Luzardo is making his 3rd start of the season for the Marlins, and he has yet to pick up a win. He has gone 5 innings in each of his first 2 starts, and he has given up 4 earned runs in each outing. Luzardo has struck out 17 batters in 10 innings of work this season.

Looking at the Marlins’ hitting projections for today, we see that Luis Arraez is not only projected to have the most hits on the team, but his total is the best in the league for today’s games. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is not far behind, as he has the highest home run projection on the team and the 8th best in today’s games. Tim Anderson’s hits projection is 17th best in the league today, while Josh Bell’s home run projection is 9th best.

Cubs Records & Stats

With an overall record of 12-7, the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central, just a half-game behind the Brewers. The Cubs head into today’s game on a two-game winning streak, closing out their series with the Diamondbacks with a win and picking up a win in the series opener with the Marlins.

Looking at Chicago’s series record, they have gone 4-2 so far. As the favorite, the Cubs are a perfect 5-0 this season, and they are 4-0 in that scenario at home. Their overall home record is 6-1.

The Cubs are 14-5 against the run line this season, including a 5-2 mark at home. They are 9-3 versus the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.6 runs per game. The Cubs’ average run margin in winning games is 3.8, compared to -3.6 in losses.

Today’s over/under line for the Cubs game against the Marlins is set at 8 runs. The Cubs have played 19 games this season, with the over hitting in 10 of them. Their games have averaged 10.4 runs per game this season. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the over has not hit in any of their games. Overall, 52.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

After starting his season with a win at home against the Rockies, Javier Assad has picked up a win and a no-decision in his last two starts. He went 5 innings in his last outing, picking up a win against the Mariners, and he struck out 6. Assad will be making his first home start of the season, as the Cubs are hosting the Marlins.

Our model is giving Michael Busch the best odds to hit a home run in this game, as his home run projection is 4th best in the league today. Garrett Cooper has the 9th best odds in the league to hit a home run. Cody Bellinger’s home run projection is 10th best in the league today. Nick Madrigal is our projected hits leader for the Cubs, with the 25th best hits projection in the league today.