At 7:20 PM from Truist Park in Atlanta, we have an NL East matchup between the Marlins and Braves. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Marlins are 6-18, while the Braves have an overall record of 15-6. Max Fried is starting for the Braves, and he is up against Trevor Rogers for the Marlins.

Currently, the over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line at -248. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by BSSO.

MIAMI MARLINS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Tuesday, April 23rd.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS BRAVES:

  • We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Marlins series came right down to the end, as the Marlins rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -215 on the money line.

Atlanta got to Marlins starter Ryan Weathers, scoring three runs in the first and knocking him out of the game after just 5 2/3 innings. On the other side, Bryce Elder pitched well for the Braves in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and striking out four without giving up a run.

Miami’s offense was led by Jazz Chisholm Jr., who went 2/4 with a home run, but he was the only Marlin hitter to have more than one hit. As a team, the Marlins only mustered eight hits and struck out seven times.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is currently 6-18 overall, and they are in 5th place in the NL East, where they trail the Braves by 10.5 games. The Marlins have gone just 1-3 against other teams in the NL East. Looking at their overall series record, the Marlins are 0-6-1, and they have lost four straight series at home.

So far, the Marlins have really struggled at home, going 2-11, and they have been just below .500 on the road at 4-7. Miami has yet to win a game as the favorite this year, going 0-7, and they are 6-11 as the underdog. Their most recent game was vs. the Braves, where they lost, and that came after winning the final game of their series vs. the Cubs.

When the Marlins win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.5 runs in their victories. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 8-16, but they are 5-6 against the run line on the road. They are 8-9 against the run line as the underdog, but 0-7 when favored.

So far this season, the Marlins have played in 24 games with an average combined run total of 8.8. Their over/under record is 13-11, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-5. In 20.8% of their games, the line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, and in 25.0% of their games, the line has been set lower than 8.5 runs. Their last 10 games have had the following combined run totals: 3, 9, 8, 5, 11, 4, 9, 7, 16, and 6.

Trevor Rogers will be on the mound for the Marlins as they take on the Braves. This will be his 4th start of the season, and so far, he has a loss and 2 no-decisions. His last time out, he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 8 hits. In his first start of the year, he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 6, giving up just 1 earned run.

Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 25th in the league in scoring at 3.5 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .221, which is 20th in the league, and have the 11th fewest home runs in the league. Miami’s team OPS of .607 is also 28th in the MLB.

Bryan De La Cruz has been one of the Marlins’ top power threats this season, as his five homers are the best mark on the team and 5th best in the league. He has also gone 10/36 over his last nine games with four homers. Josh Bell and Jake Burger are also tied for 2nd on the team with three homers apiece.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 15-6, the Braves are leading the NL East by one game over the Phillies. The Braves just took three of four games from the Rangers but dropped the series finale. So far, the Braves have gone 6-4 against other teams in the NL East.

As the favorite, the Braves have gone a perfect 15-6 this season, and they are 7-3 at home compared to 8-3 on the road. Atlanta has won three straight series and has an overall series record of 5-1-1 this year.

Atlanta’s run line record is 11-10, but they are just 4-6 against the run line at home. The Braves have an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game, but that number jumps to 3.3 runs per game on the road. They have covered the run line in seven of their 11 road games this season.

So far this season, the Braves have been involved in 19 games with over/under lines, and the over/under line for today’s game is 8.5. Of the 19 games, 15 have had higher lines than today’s, and the over/under record for the season is 11-8. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs, and the combined run average for their games is 10.4 runs per game.

Max Fried is getting the start for the Braves today, and he has been solid in his first 3 outings of the season. He has a win over the Marlins, where he went 6 1/3 innings and struck out 4. In his last start, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 runs on 4 hits and 2 homers against the Astros.

Marcell Ozuna and the Braves come into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 6.1 runs per game. Ozuna has been a big part of that, as he leads the league with 27 RBIs and is 1st in home runs, while also batting .325 for the season. Over his last 10 games, he has gone 12/37 with four homers and 14 RBIs. Travis d’Arnaud has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/27 with five homers in his last nine games.

As a team, the Braves are the league’s best hitting team, with a team batting average of .282. They are also the league’s leaders in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Not only are they the top-scoring offense in the league, but they also have the league’s best team ISO at .188.