The start of any NBA season is always exciting, and that is especially going to be the case during the 2023-24 season. This will be a year filled with some great matchups, and it’s also a season that is going to see a terrific rookie class.
An injury to Chet Holmgren a season ago has added another talent into the great rookie class, and it’s going to create even more drama in the Rookie of the Year race. This is always one of the best future bets to make on this league, but only when you do it correctly.
There is one big betting favorite to win the NBA Rookie of the Year Award, but that doesn’t mean that is where you should go. Here is a look at the odds for this market and the best wager to make.
Wembanyama a Major Favorite
Victor Wembanyama was the number one overall pick in the 2023 NBA Draft, and he is a player that should have success in this league right away. A handful of teams were tanking for the rights to select Wembanyama, and it was the San Antonio Spurs that were given that opportunity.
The Spurs are going to let Wembanyama lead the team right away, and he should be putting up some ridiculous stats throughout the year. The young phenom dominated throughout the preseason, and it’s clear why he is the betting favorite at -145.
Just because Wembanyama is the betting favorite to win the NBA Rookie of the Year Award, that doesn’t mean that he will run away with it. He doesn’t exactly have a body that is ready for the physical style of play in the NBA, and he is going to have to stay healthy to make it through an entire season.
The Other Contenders
Most years, you are going to see a long list of players who have a chance to win the NBA Rookie of the Year Award, but that’s just not the case this year. While you can virtually vote on any of the rookies set to take the court this year, there are only two other top contenders outside of Wembanyama.
Chet Holmgren is the next player on the list at +250 at BetOnline, and he is finally making his long-awaited NBA debut. Holmgren has some talent around him with the Oklahoma City Thunder, and he should be one of the best players in the league.
There was actually a question of whether or not Scoot Henderson would be selected over Victor Wembanyama, as he is that talented. That obviously didn’t happen, but Henderson has odds set at +350 to win this award this season.
The odds after those two players go all the way down to +2500 after the top three players, and that creates some real intrigue in this market. There is a ton of value in betting on someone from outside of the best players, but you are taking a big risk as well.
Factor in Injuries
There are a ton of things to consider when betting on the NBA Rookie of the Year Award, and injuries are one of those factors. Wembanyama just looks like a player who is going to deal with injuries throughout his career, and he is going to miss some time this year.
Holmgren has already dealt with injuries in this career, and those concerns aren’t going away. For that reason, you are going to want to stay away from those two players when betting on this award.
For this reason, going with Scoot Henderson to win the 2023-24 NBA Rookie of the Year Award is the right play, as he has odds set at +350.