Going into game four of this NL West showdown, the Padres (55-57, 30-27 home) are giving the start to Seth Lugo. On the other side, the Dodgers (64-46, 30-26 away) are rolling with Tony Gonsolin. Don’t miss my prediction for today’s Los Angeles Dodgers versus San Diego Padres game in San Diego.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres -121

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Monday, August 7th.

WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO PADRES:

  • The Padres have gone 3-2 in their five games at home.
  • Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Dodgers are just 4-6 straight-up.
  • Over his last three starts, Seth Lugo has an ERA of just 2.71.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS HAVE BEEN GOOD AGAINST THE NL WEST

Heading into today’s game, the Dodgers are 1st in the NL West with an overall record of 64-46. When looking at their performance in their 34 series, Los Angeles is 20-13-1. Against below .500 teams, the Dodgers are 34-34 while going 30-26 on the road and 34-20 at home.

Tony Gonsolin has been a reliable starter for the Dodgers this season, boasting an impressive 6-4 record. He has made 17 appearances, with an ERA of 4.11 and a K/9 of 7.29. His FIP stands at 4.86 and his OBP is .288.

Tony Gonsolin earned the victory in his last start against Oakland, surrendering one earned run and five hits over five frames. Los Angeles emerged triumphant with a 10-1 scoreline.

Offensively, Los Angeles is ranked 2nd in the league with an average of 5.7 runs per game. When looking over their last ten matchups, the Dodgers averaged 7.8 runs per contest, which is 5th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Los Angeles is 2nd in all of baseball, with a total of 179 home runs.

The Dodgers’ Freddie Freeman leads the team in hits, boasting a .339 batting average. His slugging percentage stands at .595 and his on-base percentage is .416 entering the game.

WILL THE SAN DIEGO PADRES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

The Padres head into today’s game looking to build on their above .500 record at home (30-27). Their overall record of 55-57 has them placed 4th in the NL West. Through 34 series, the Padres are 15-15-4.

Entering the season with a record of 4-5, Seth Lugo is making his 17th appearance of the 2023 campaign. He has an ERA of 3.54 and is holding opposing batters to a .249 average. On the road, Lugo is 2-2 with a 3.39 ERA, while at home he has gone 2-3 with an ERA of 6.02. For the season, teams have managed to post a .409 slugging percentage against him.

Despite tossing seven frames and yielding only three runs in his most recent outing, Seth Lugo was not credited with the decision. Nevertheless, the Padres still fell to the Rockies by a score of 4-3.

For the season, the Padres are 15th in batting average, hitting a combined .241. Over their last ten games, they have hit .282 which is 2nd in that span. San Diego’s average of 4.6 runs per game puts them 12th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 146 times and have a team slugging percentage of .415.

Juan Soto has been a key contributor to the Padres’ offensive success in 2023. The slugger has a .276 batting average, 72 RBIs, and 24 home runs on the season.