The Astros (68-50, 33-25 home) host the Angels (58-60, 27-32 away) in game three of this AL West series. Getting the start for the Astros is José Urquidy while the Angels are turning to Chase Silseth. Read on to get my best bet for this Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels matchup.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Los Angeles Angels +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 2:10 ET on Sunday, August 13th.

WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES ANGELS:

  • Against the runline, the Astros have gone just 4-6 in their last ten home games.
  • Over their last five games as the favorite, the Astros are just 2-3 against the runline.
  • Over his last two starts, Chase Silseth has an ERA of just 2.19.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS STRUGGLING VS RUNLINE OF LATE

118 games into the season, the Angels have a record of 58-60, putting them 4th in the AL West. This mark includes an overall series 17-17-2. At home, they are 31-28 compared to 27-32 on the road.

The Los Angeles Angels will rely on starter Chase Silseth, who has a 3-1 record this season. Across 12 appearances, the right-hander has posted an ERA of 3.72 and a K/9 of 10.16. His FIP stands at 4.83, while his OBP is .275.

Chase Silseth had a quality start in his last game, going seven innings and allowing two runs. Unfortunately, the Angels were unable to capitalize on his strong performance and fell to the Mariners 3-2.

Offensively, Los Angeles is ranked 7th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Angels averaged 4 runs per contest, which is 9th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Los Angeles is 3rd in all of baseball, with a total of 176 home runs.

The Los Angeles Angels have seen Mike Moustakas lead the way offensively over their last five games, with one home run. On the season, Moustakas has 11 long balls and is batting .271.

WILL THE HOUSTON ASTROS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 2nd in the AL West with an overall record of 68-50. When looking at their performance in their 36 series, Houston is 19-14-3. Against below .500 teams, the Astros are 38-38 while going 35-25 on the road and 33-25 at home.

José Urquidy is slated to take the mound for the Astros, boasting an overall record of 2-2. Through seven appearances, his ERA is 6.10 and his K/9 is 6.97. Additionally, Urquidy’s FIP stands at 6.01 and opponents have a .342 OBP against him this season.

José Urquidy’s most recent start against the Yankees resulted in a no-decision, despite giving up five runs and three hits over 3 1/3 innings. Fortunately for the Astros, they were able to come away with a 9-7 victory.

For the season, the Astros are 12th in batting average, hitting a combined .251. Over their last five games, they have hit .319 which is 1st in that span. Houston’s average of 4.9 runs per game puts them 6th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 153 times and have a team slugging percentage of .418.

The Astros have seen Kyle Tucker’s offensive prowess on full display over the last five games, as he has hit a team-leading three home runs. His season total now stands at 22, and his batting average is an impressive .297.