Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Wildcats versus the Bulldogs? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS. This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 156.5 points, and Mississippi State is favored to win by -4 at home vs. Kentucky.


The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4

This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Not only will Mississippi State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Wildcats Make it Happen in Starkville?

So far this season, Kentucky has been the underdog in five games and has gone 3-2 in those contests. The Wildcats have gone 6-4 on the road this year, and they are 3-2 in their last five games away from home.

Most recently, Kentucky defeated Alabama by a score of 117-95. The Wildcats have gone 19-8 overall this season, including a 9-5 record in Southeastern Conference play.

As the underdog this season, Kentucky has been very good vs. the spread, going 4-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wildcats have an impressive ATS mark of 8-2. On the road, Kentucky is 5-5 vs. the spread this year and they are 1-2 ATS in their last 3 road games.

For the season, the over/under record in Kentucky games is 19-8 and today’s line of 156.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (158.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 163 points compared to their season average of 166.6 points per game.

Kentucky recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 117 points against Alabama. This output exceeded their season average of 88.7 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Justin Edwards with 28 points. Antonio Reeves also added 24 points for the Wildcats.

Currently, the Wildcats’ defense holds the 293rd rank in the nation, allowing 77.9 points per game. Kentucky’s three-point defense is currently 226th in the country at 8.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.3% of their shots vs. Kentucky.

Will the Bulldogs Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Mississippi State enters this game with a record of 19-8, including a 13-2 mark at home. They are currently riding a five-game win streak, and their average scoring margin at home is +10.6 points per game. For the season, they have been favored in 21 of their 27 games, going 17-4 in those contests.

In their last game, the Bulldogs defeated LSU by a score of 87-67. Over their last 10 home games, they have gone 8-2, and they are 5-0 in their last five games at home.

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 14-12-1 this season. At home, the Bulldogs are 8-6-1 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, Mississippi State has gone 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

Mississippi State’s over/under record for the season sits at 12-14-1, and the average over/under line in their games is 140.5. So far this year, 25 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line of 156.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points, and their OU record over the last 10 games is 4-6.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Mississippi State’s offense scored 87 points against LSU. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.2%, and they went 17/22 from the free-throw line. Josh Hubbard is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15.3 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Cameron Matthews brings a PPG average of 9.6 into the game.

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 65th in the country, permitting 67.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. LSU, the Tigers finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 67 points vs. Mississippi State.