On Saturday, December 23rd at 3:30 PM ET, the James Madison Dukes and Air Force Falcons at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX. ABC is carrying television coverage the for game. This non-conference showdown features the Dukes as 3 point favorites to grab the win. Is betting on them to cover the spread the right call, or is there better value with the Falcons? Keep reading to find out.

JAMES MADISON DUKES VS AIR FORCE FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Air Force Falcons +3

This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, December 23rd.

WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 23-20 in favor of James Madison.
  • Even though we have James Madison winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 41.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 43 points.

Is a Win at Fort Worth Possible for the Dukes?

So far, the James Madison Dukes are 11-1, including going 6-0 on the road and 4-0 at home.

James Madison’s average scoring differential for the season is +16.7 leading to an ATS mark of 8-2. The Dukes have been favored eight times and the underdog in two games

This season, James Madison holds an over/under record of 7-3. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 53.7 points, with the typical over/under line set at 50.3 points.

On offense, the Dukes come in with the 39th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 287.1 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 57th in terms of attempts.

The James Madison defense holds the 60th position in points allowed, allowing 18.5 points per game. Teams have an average of 267.1 passing yards per game against them (162nd nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 63.2 rushing yards, placing them 5th in college football.

Can The Falcons Secure a Home Victory?

The Air Force Falcons take on the James Madison with a 8-4 record, including 3-2 on the road and 3-2 at home.

Air Force has gone into nine games as the favorite this season and one game as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 4-5-1.

So far in this season, Air Force has posted an over/under record of 6-4. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 45.5 points, with the typical over/under line set at 42.8 points.

The Falcons’ heads into the game, averaging 275.7 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 2nd in rushing yards and 2nd in passing yards at 88.3 yards per contest. Air Force is averaging 27.6 points per game, which is 56th in the nation.

Looking at this week’s game, the Air Force defense stands at 56th in points allowed, permitting 17.9 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 181 passing yards per game against them (30th). On the ground, they’re conceding 98.2 rushing yards, ranking them 19th in college football.