The Cyclones and Wildcats are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN2. The Wildcats will host the game at Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, KS. In this Big 12 matchup, Iowa State is favored by -3.5 vs. Kansas State. The over/under for the game is 133.5 points.

IOWA STATE CYCLONES VS KANSAS STATE WILDCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Kansas State Wildcats +3.5

This game will be played at Bramlage Coliseum at 2:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.

WHY BET THE KANSAS STATE WILDCATS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Not only will Kansas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Iowa State Come Through as Road Favorites?

Heading into today’s game, Iowa State is favored by 3.5 points. The Cyclones have a record of 20-2 this season when they are favored, and they have gone 13-4 in Big 12 play.

This season, Iowa State has been much better at home compared to on the road. At home, the Cyclones have gone 18-1, and their average margin of victory is +22.5 points per game. On the road, they are just 6-5, and their average margin of victory is +.4 points per game.

When looking at Iowa State’s overall ATS record this season, they have gone 19-9-2. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-4-1, and they have gone 2-0-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. As the favorite, the Cyclones have a 14-7-1 ATS record this year.

Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Iowa State’s games this season (138.3). In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 115 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Iowa State offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against BYU. Their field goal percentage for the game was 36.8%, and they made 6 threes. In terms of offense, the Cyclones have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 106th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 172nd in percentage and 265th in three-pointers made.

In the current season, the Iowa State defense has excelled, sitting 6th in the nation by allowing 62.0 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.5 threes per game vs. Kansas State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.0%.

Can the Wildcats Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

After losing their last game to Kansas, the Wildcats enter this game with a record of 17-13. They have gone 12-4 when favored and 4-9 when the underdog. At home, Kansas State has gone 12-4 compared to 4-9 on the road.

In their last 10 games at home, the Wildcats have gone 7-3. Over their last five games at home, they have gone 3-2. On the season, they have gone 6-10 in Big 12 play.

At home this season, Kansas State has an ATS record of 7-9 and an overall ATS record of 15-14. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wildcats have gone 7-3 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, Kansas State is 1-2 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record in Kansas State games is 14-15 and today’s line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (143.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 162 points.

In their most recent game, the Wildcats’ offense tallied 68 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 72.4 points per game. William McNair led the scoring for the Wildcats, contributing 17 points. Additionally, Arthur Kaluma chipped in with 10 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Kansas State defense is giving up an average of 70.6 points per contest. Against Kansas in their most recent game, the Kansas State defense gave up a total of 90 points while allowing Kansas to hit 45% of their shots.