Planning on watching today’s Vandals and Hornets game? Catch the action at The Hornets Nest in Sacramento, CA, as the Hornets hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Big Sky conference contest is set at 132.5 points, with Sacramento State being favored by -4.5 at home against Idaho.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets -4.5

This game will be played at The Hornets Nest at 9:00 ET on Monday, February 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Sacramento State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Vandals Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

Idaho enters this game with an overall record of 8-14, including a 2-7 mark in Big Sky Conference games. So far, the Vandals have gone 3-7 on the road, where they have been outscored by an average of 11.6 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Idaho has gone 3-13, compared to a 3-1 record as the favorite. In their last game, the Vandals defeated Montana State by a score of 81-75.

As the underdog this season, Idaho has gone 5-11 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-6 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are just 2-8 vs. the spread. However, in their last three games as the underdog, the Vandals have gone 2-1 ATS.

Idaho’s over/under record for the season is 11-8-1 and today’s line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (141.2). So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 152 points.

In their latest game, Idaho’s offense looked good, scoring 81 points against Montana State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 54.4% and made 14/20 free throws. Julius Mims led the team in scoring, putting up 15 points. Additionally, D’Angelo Minnis contributed 14 points for the Vandals.

The Vandals’ defense is presently ranked 170th nationally, allowing an average of 72.0 points per contest. Against Montana State in their most recent game, the Idaho defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Montana State to hit 49% of their shots.

Can Sacramento State Secure a Home Victory?

After losing their last game to Portland State by a score of 58-51, Sacramento State comes into this game with a record of 6-16. They have lost five games in a row and have gone 2-7 in Big Sky Conference play.

At home this season, the Hornets have gone 3-6, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games at home. For the season, their average scoring margin at home is -4.9 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Sacramento State has a record of 1-4-1 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 3-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hornets are 3-6-1.

So far this season, the over/under record for Sacramento State games is 8-12. Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (139.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 126 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.

Coming off their recent game, the Sacramento State offense tallied 51 points in a matchup against Portland State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 42%, and they made 3 threes. On the offensive front, the Hornets have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 298th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 343rd in terms of percentage and 190th in three-pointers made.

The Hornets’ defense is presently ranked 148th nationally, allowing an average of 71.1 points per contest. Sacramento State’s three-point defense is currently 96th in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.5% of their shots vs. Sacramento State.