Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick 10/07/19

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A series sweep is on the line as the Houston Astros are facing off against the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 3 of the ALDS. The visiting Astros currently maintain a commanding 2-0 series lead. This game is slated to begin at 1:05 p.m. ET and is scheduled to be televised on MLB Network.

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Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Tampa Bay (+135) as the underdog to Houston (-145). If you think this game’s total will go under 7.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering even money odds (+100). Picking the over will give you -120 odds. There’s a runline of Astros -1.5 (+100) and Rays +1.5 (-120) for this matchup.

Including the regular season, the Rays are 97-68 straight up (SU) and 83-82 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.3 units for moneyline bettors and 9.8 units ATS. The Astros have gone 109-55 SU this year and are 91-73 ATS. They’re up 8.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.8 units ATS.

Tampa Bay games have had an over/under record of 80-77-8 in 2019. Houston has been a good under bet with a total record of 74-85-5.

Right-hander Zack Greinke is projected to start for the visiting Stros. Greinke is 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA and 187 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 7.94 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.

The Rays will put the ball in the right hand of Charlie Morton (16-6, 3.05 ERA, 1.08 WHIP), who has 240 strikeouts and 57 walks this season. Morton is 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and an 8.00 ERA across two starts against Houston this year.

With a team slash line of .284/.342/.448, the Astros have averaged 4.5 runs scored through two playoff outings. Tampa Bay is hitting .188/.250/.333 through three games and the team has managed 2.7 runs during this year’s playoffs.

The Rays bullpen has registered an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.38 this postseason, while Astros relievers have fared noticeably worse with an 8.10 ERA and 2.40 WHIP.

Michael Brantley has provided a spark to the Houston offense. Brantley is slashing .310/.371/.499 with 22 home runs, 90 RBIs and 89 runs scored.

The Rays’ hitters have been led by Tommy Pham, who is slashing .276/.369/.454 with 22 home runs, 69 RBIs, 78 runs and 26 steals.

The Astros are coming off of a 3-1 victory in Game .

Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in five of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.

The Astros have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 17 over their last 10.

The Astros have a team OPS of .850 this season and an OPS of .831 against right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS stands at .755 overall and .756 versus righties.

Houston fielders have committed zero errors over the last five contests, compared to three errors for Tampa Bay over its last five.

The Astros have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Rays have dropped four of their last five.

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