Getting the start for the Astros (86-71, 47-29 away) will be Cristian Javier against George Kirby for the Mariners (84-72, 41-34 home). Today marks game two of their series, with the Astros currently holding the 1-0 lead. Read on to see my best bet for this Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners matchup.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros +119
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 10:05 ET on Tuesday, September 26th.
WHY BET THE HOUSTON ASTROS:
- On the road, the Astros have picked up two straight victories.
- As the road underdog, the Astros’ win streak currently stands at 10 games.
- George Kirby has given up five away runs across his last four starts.
HOUSTON ASTROS HAVE BEEN GOOD AGAINST THE AL WEST
Heading into this divisional matchup vs. the Mariners, the Astros have an overall record of 86-71. This mark includes going 31-19 against divisional foes. Currently, they are 2nd in the AL West. Houston’s overall series record sits at 26-19-4.
Cristian Javier has made 29 appearances this season, boasting a .421 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.28 WHIP. His overall record is 9-4 with an ERA of 4.64, having recorded 149 strikeouts and averaging 8.86 K/9 innings. On the road, Javier is 4-2 with an ERA of 5.83, while he’s 5-2 at home with an ERA of 4.39.
Cristian Javier’s most recent outing saw him surrender three hits across five innings, resulting in one earned run. Although he did not factor into the decision, the Astros were able to edge out the Orioles 2-1.
This season, the Astros are 5th in the league at 5.1 runs per game. Over their last five games, they have a combined batting average of .219 (21st) leading to 3.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.4 walks per game compared to 7 strikeouts. Houston’s on-base percentage of .332 has them 3rd in the MLB.
The Astros have seen Yordan Alvarez lead the team in hits over their last five games, with a .375 batting average. The slugger has been a key contributor to the team’s offense this season, boasting a .297 average and 96 RBIs.
WILL THE SEATTLE MARINERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Entering game 157 of their season, the Mariners are four games out in the AL West and are in 3rd place. So far, their overall series record stands at 25-22-2. Seattle’s road winning percent is currently 53.1% (43-38) compared to 54.7% at home (41-34).
George Kirby has made 30 appearances in 2023, amassing an 11-10 record. His ERA stands at 3.58, with opposing batters hitting .245 against him. On the road, Kirby is 5-6 with a 4.62 ERA; at home, he’s 6-4 with a 3.76 ERA. Teams have managed to slug .399 against him this season.
The Mariners emerged victorious in George Kirby’s last outing, defeating the Athletics 6-3. The right-hander pitched seven innings, giving up eight hits and three earned runs to add a win to his ledger.
As a team, Seattle has scuffled at the plate over their last ten games, with a combined batting average of just .216. Compared to other teams, this is just 23rd in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .415% while going deep a total of 203 times (11th). Overall, the Mariners are 12th in the MLB at 4.7 runs per contest.
The Seattle Mariners’ offensive leader, Julio Rodríguez, is batting .283 this season. He has a .494 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341.