Looking to win big? The Paladins and Bulldogs face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Bulldogs are hosting the game at Pete Hanna Center in Homewood, AL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 164.5 points, and Samford is favored by -7 to win at home against Furman.


The Pick: Furman Paladins +7

This game will be played at Pete Hanna Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Even though we have Samford winning straight-up, we like Furman at +7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 164.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Paladins Stand a Chance on the Road?

As the underdog, Furman has gone 0-7 this season. They have a record of 15-12, including a 9-5 record in Southern Conference play. Coming into this game, they have won three straight games, and they are 2-1 in their last three games on the road.

So far this season, Furman has gone 3-9 on the road, and their average scoring margin is -3.5 points per game. In their last game, they defeated Chattanooga by a score of 82-65.

On the season, Furman has an ATS record of 9-15. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-9, and over their last 10 road games, they are just 3-7 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Paladins have gone 2-5 vs. the spread this year, and their last 10 games as the underdog have resulted in a 4-6 ATS mark.

Furman’s over/under record this season is 11-12-1, and today’s over/under line of 164.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (155.8). So far, 18 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 2-7-1.

The Paladins’ offense wrapped up their last game with 82 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 80 points per contest. JP Pegues is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16.5 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Marcus Foster brings a PPG average of 18.6 into the game.

Currently, the Paladins’ defense holds the 256th rank in the nation, allowing 75.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.3 threes per game vs. Samford. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.8%.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Samford?

Samford comes into this game with a record of 23-4, including a perfect 12-0 mark at home. They have won their last 12 games at home, and their average scoring margin at home is +17.5 points per game. So far this season, the Bulldogs have been favored in 18 of their 27 games, going 17-1 in those contests.

In their last game, Samford fell to Mercer by a score of 88-84. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bulldogs are a perfect 10-0. For the season, they are 12-0 at home and 8-4 on the road. Their average scoring margin on the road is +4.7 points per game.

Samford’s ATS record this season is 15-9, including a mark of 8-4 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 164.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Samford’s games this season (155.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 162 points, and their over/under record this season is 10-14.

Samford’s offense had a good outing, putting up 84 points against Mercer. They achieved a 43.1% field goal percentage and went 28/36 from the free-throw line. The top scorer for the Bulldogs was Achor Achor with 20 points, while Rylan Jones also added 19 to the scoreboard.

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 221st in the country, permitting 74.0 points per game. So far, the Samford defense is giving up an average of 10.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.7 times per game (653rd).