Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Aggies. The game is starting at 3:00 ET on CBSS, and it’s hosted by the Aggies at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have Utah State as the -12.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 142 points.


The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +12.5

This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 3:00 ET on Thursday, March 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Even though we have Utah State winning straight-up, we like Fresno State at +12.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Fresno State Pull Off A Win at Thomas & Mack Center?

On the season, Fresno State has an overall record of 11-20, including a 4-13 mark in Mountain West Conference play. The Bulldogs have lost six straight games, and they are 3-9 on the road this season.

As the underdog, Fresno State has gone just 2-16 on the year. In their last game, the Bulldogs lost to Wyoming by a score of 86-47. Over their last 10 road games, Fresno State has gone 3-7.

As the underdog, Fresno State has gone 6-12 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-7 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs are 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Fresno State games is 16-13, and today’s over/under line of 142 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (138.5). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 139 points.

The Fresno State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 47 points vs. Wyoming. Overall their field goal percentage was 28.6% while connecting on 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Xavier Dusell, who is averaging 11.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Isaiah Hill also maintains a PPG average of 11.8 heading into game.

Currently, the Bulldogs’ defense holds the 218th rank in the nation, allowing 73.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Wyoming, the Cowboys finished with a field goal percentage of 28% and a total of 86 points vs. Fresno State.

Can the Aggies Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Utah State has been dominant at home this season, going 14-1 with an average scoring margin of +12.0 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, they have gone 9-1. Overall, the Aggies have won four straight games, and they are 26-5 this season.

As for their opponent, Fresno State, they are 12.5-point underdogs. So far this season, Utah State has been favored in 23 of their 31 games, going 22-1 in those games. The Aggies have also been strong in Mountain West play, going 13-3 compared to 13-2 in non-conference games.

Utah State’s ATS record this season is 15-11-1, including a mark of 9-6 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies have gone 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

Utah State’s over/under record for the season sits at 15-12, and the average scoring total in their games is 148.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 142 is lower than the average OU line in their games (145.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

In their latest game, Utah State offense put up 87 points against New Mexico. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 53.6% and made 6 threes. One area that the Utah State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 51st in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 49%.

So far, the Aggies’ defense is ranked 103rd in the country at 69.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Utah State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 26.9% this season.