Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Seminoles versus the Tar Heels? Tip off is at at 12:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The over/under for this game is set at 154.5 points, and North Carolina is favored by -10.5 vs. Florida State in a Atlantic Coast conference matchup.


The Pick: Florida State Seminoles +10.5

This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 12:00 ET on Thursday, March 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Tar Heels.
  • Even though we have North Carolina winning straight-up, we like Florida State at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Are the Seminoles Ready for a Road Win?

Florida State enters this game as a 10.5-point underdog, and they have a 6-9 record in this role. On the road this season, the Seminoles have gone 5-8, and they have lost their last four games away from home.

Overall, Florida State is 16-15, and they are coming off of an 83-75 win over Miami (FL). In their last 10 road games, the Seminoles have gone 5-5.

Florida State’s ATS record this season is currently at .500 with a mark of 15-15-1. On the road, the Seminoles are 6-7 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, FSU is just 3-7 vs. the spread. In their last 5 games as the underdog, they are 1-4 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Florida State’s games this season (150.2). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 159 points.

Florida State’s offense had a good outing, putting up 83 points against Miami (FL). They achieved a 40% field goal percentage and went 15/19 from the free-throw line. The top scorer for the Seminoles was Darin Green Jr with 26 points, while Jamir Watkins also chipped in with 16 points.

Looking at the Florida State defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 75.8 points per game (266th). In their most recent game, the Florida State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Miami (FL) knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 75 points.

Will the Tar Heels Defense Show Up at Home?

North Carolina enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 28 of their 31 games this season. They have gone 23-5 in those games, including a 16-2 record at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +16.6 points per game, and they have won their last four games at home.

Overall, the Tar Heels have won six straight games, and they are 25-6 on the season. In their last game, they defeated Duke by a score of 84-79. In their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1.

North Carolina has an ATS record of 18-13 this season and is 10-8 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tar Heels are just 4-6 vs. the spread.

North Carolina’s over/under record this season sits at 15-16 and today’s line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (152.7). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 148 points compared to their season average of 151.7 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Tar Heels’ offense tallied 84 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 81.6 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is RJ Davis, who holds an average of 21.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Armando Bacot is averaging 13.9 points per game this season.

So far, the Tar Heels’ defense is ranked 114th in the country at 70.1 points per contest. So far, the North Carolina defense is giving up an average of 7.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.9 times per game (411st).