The 2023 Davis Cup is coming to a conclusion, with just four teams remaining as of Friday, November 24. The final four teams – Serbia, Australia, Finland, and Italy – meet in head-to-head semi-final matches on Friday and Saturday with the champion being crowned Sunday. Each semi-final involves three matches, two singles and one doubles. Serbia was the last of these four nations to win the Davis Cup, doing so in 2010. Australia last won in 2003 and Italy won in 1976. Finland has never been to the championship of the Davis Cup Finals.
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The Final 4: How They Got Here
Australia
Australia finished second in Group B behind Great Britain, securing one of the eight quarter-final spots in the four round robin groups. Players like Alex de Minaur, Thanasi Kokkinakis, and Max Purcell contributed to Australia’s qualification efforts. The Aussies scored a 2-1 victory over Czech Republic in the semi-finals. Jordan Thompson dropped the first match, but de Minaur defeated Jiří Lehečka in three sets and the duo of Purcell and Matthew Ebden beat Lehečka and Adam Pavlásek.
Finland
Finland, which is playing Australia in the first of two semi-final matches on Friday, is a massive underdog in the Davis Cup Finals despite a strong run of play dating back to the Group Stage. Finland finished second in Group D, behind the Netherlands and ahead of the United States. They scored a surprise 2-1 victory over defending champions Canada in the quarterfinals, with the team of Otto Virtanen and Harri Heliovaara scoring the knockout blow of Alexis Galarneau and Vasek Pospisil.
Serbia
Led by Nitto ATP Finals winner and world No. 1 Novak Djokovic, Serbia finished second in Group C behind Czech Republic, although Djokovic only competed in one of three matches for the country in the round robin. Serbia was the lone quarter-final team to sweep its opponent, beating Great Britain 2-0 by winning the first two singles matches. Miomir Kecmanovic beat Jack Draper 7-6 (2), 7-6 (6) and Djokovic beat Cameron Norrie 6-4, 6-4.
Italy
The Italians finished second behind Canada in Group A and punched their ticket to the semifinals with a 2-1 win over the Netherlands in the quarterfinals. After a loss in the first match, Jannik Sinner defeated Tallon Griekspoor in straight sets and Sinner and Lorenzo Sonego secured the victory with a doubles win over Griekspoor and Wesley Koolhof.
Davis Cup Finals Prediction
Australia is the heavy betting favorite in the first semifinal against Finland, especially since the European nation has never been this far in the tournament and are only the first Scandinavian country to reach this point in the tournament since Sweden in 2007. Australia has the advantage in the first two matches with Alexei Popyrin playing Otto Virtanen and de Minaur up against Emil Ruusuvuori.
The second semifinal is a little tougher to predict and will feature the marquee matchup between Djokovic and Jannik Sinner. Italy can still beat Serbia if Sinner loses the match, but the young Italian has actually played quite well against Djokovic in the past – he beat him in three sets earlier this month in the ATP Finals and took him to five sets at Wimbledon in 2022.
Davis Cup Finals Pick: Italy def. Australia
