Planning on watching today’s Wildcats and Flyers game? Catch the action at UD Arena in Dayton, OH, as the Flyers hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on CBSS. The over/under for this game is set at 132.5 points, and Dayton is favored by -10.5 vs. Davidson in a Atlantic 10 conference matchup.


The Pick: Davidson Wildcats +10.5

This game will be played at UD Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Flyers.
  • Even though we have Dayton winning straight-up, we like Davidson at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Do the Wildcats Stand a Chance in Dayton?

Davidson will be looking to bounce back after a 66-63 loss to Richmond. Over their last 10 road games, the Wildcats have gone 5-5. So far this season, they have an average scoring margin of -0.3 points per game.

For the year, Davidson has a record of 15-12. They are 5-9 in Atlantic 10 games and 10-3 in non-conference matchups. As the underdog, they have gone 5-8.

Davidson has a solid ATS record this season of 14-11, including a 9-4 mark on the road. The Wildcats have been even better vs. the spread as the underdog, going 8-5. In their last 3 road games, Davidson is a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Davidson games is 10-15. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 136.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (138.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 136 points.

In contrast to their season average of 71 points per game, the Davidson had a below average performance. They scored 63 points against Richmond and had a field goal percentage of 40.7%. Offensively, the Wildcats hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 299th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 297th in terms of percentage and 154th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Davidson defense is giving up an average of 66.5 points per contest. So far, the Davidson defense is giving up an average of 8.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.7 times per game (396th).

Pressure Builds for Dayton as Home Favorites

Dayton comes into this game with a perfect 15-0 record at home, and they have won their last 15 games at home. For the season, the Flyers are 21-5, and they have gone 11-3 in Atlantic 10 play. They are 19-3 when favored this season.

Over their last 10 games at home, Dayton is 10-0, and they have gone 5-0 in their last five games at home. They are coming off a 71-67 loss to George Mason.

Against the spread, Dayton has gone 13-12-1 this season. At home, the Flyers are 7-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Dayton’s ATS mark is 5-5. In their last three home games, the Flyers are 1-2 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Dayton’s games this season (136.8). The over/under record in their games this year is 14-11-1. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1 and their games this year have averaged 138.3 points.

The Dayton offense is coming off a game where they scored 67 points against George Mason. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.1% and connected on 11 threes. The team’s top scorer is DaRon Holmes II, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 20.2, while Nate Santos also carries a PPG average of 11.9 into the game.

In the current season, the Dayton defense has excelled, sitting 23rd in the nation by allowing 64.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. George Mason, the Patriots finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 71 points vs. Dayton.