At 10:00 ET on NBCS, the Sacramento Kings (-117) will host the Dallas Mavericks (-104) in a Western Conference matchup. Sacramento (-1) is favored over Dallas (+1) with the over/under line set at 230.

Currently, the Mavericks are on a five-game winning streak and sit 6th in the West at 43-29. On the other hand, the Kings are 42-30 and 8th in the conference. This game will take place at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +1

This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Friday, March 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-108 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 16 threes.

Do the Mavericks Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Kings by a score of 132-96. This improved their overall record to 43-29 and they are currently 6th in the Western Conference standings.

This season, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 41-31, including going 23-12 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in their last three games and have an average scoring differential of +0.5 points per game on the road.

Dallas has been the underdog in 29 of their 72 games this season and have gone 11-18 straight-up in those games. As the underdog, they have an ATS record of 14-15 and have gone 3-0 ATS as the underdog on the road.

On the season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 34-38, and the under has hit in their last five games. Today’s O/U line is set at 230, and their games have averaged a combined 235.4 points per game.

For the season, the Mavericks have an average O/U line of 236.1 points per game, which is higher than today’s line of 230. In 57 of their games, the O/U line has been higher than 230.

So far this season, the Mavericks have been one of the league’s best three-point shooting teams. They come into this game ranked 3rd in three-point makes per game at 14.6. Overall, they are 12th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 48%.

When it comes to their scoring, the Mavericks are 6th in the league at 118.8 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road this season, averaging 118.3 PPG compared to 119.3 at home.

Looking at their pace, Dallas is 12th in the NBA at 99.6 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 20th in the league at 25.8 per game.

The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 20th in the league, allowing an average of 116.6 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 55.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.5% of their three-point attempts.

Will the Kings Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Today, the Kings are favored by 1 point at home against the Mavericks. This season, Sacramento has been the favorite in 50 of their 72 games and has a record of 31-19 in those games.

In terms of their ATS record, the Kings are 14-21 at home and 22-15 on the road for an overall record of 36-36. As the favorite, their ATS record is 22-28 compared to 14-8 as the underdog.

Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 34-37-1, and the team has seen the under hit in their last five games. Today’s O/U line is set at 230, and the Kings’ games have averaged 233.6 points per game this season.

In their most recent game against the Mavericks, the Kings lost by a score of 132-96. Sacramento was favored by 1 point in that game and had an ATS loss. The O/U line for that game was 233.5.

Currently, the Kings are 8th in the Western Conference with a record of 42-30. In the Pacific Division, they are in 3rd place. Against other Western Conference teams, the Kings are 27-18 and 15-12 in non-conference games.

This season, the Kings have been one of the top scoring teams in the NBA, averaging 117.3 points per game (9th). At home, they have been even better, scoring 119.1 points per game (8th).

In terms of pace, Sacramento is 11th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game. This has helped them get up a lot of three-point attempts, as they are 4th in the NBA in three-point attempts per game (38.8).

When it comes to shooting efficiency, the Kings are 12th in field goal percentage (48%) and 13th in true shooting percentage. Inside the arc, they are 6th in two-point shooting percentage (56%).

At present, the Kings’ defense is ranked 19th, allowing 116.3 points per game. Inside the arc, the Kings defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.2% and 39.0% from three-point territory.