Looking to win big? The Huskies and Friars face off at 8:00 ET on FOX. The Friars are hosting the game at Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, RI. Connecticut is favored by -9.5 in this Big East conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 140.5 points.


The Pick: Providence Friars +9.5

This game will be played at Amica Mutual Pavilion at 8:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Friars.
  • Not only will Providence pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can Connecticut Deliver Being Favored on the Road?

Connecticut comes into this game with a record of 27-3, including a 17-2 mark in Big East play. They have won three straight games and are 9-3 on the road this season.

Over their last 10 road games, the Huskies have gone 8-2, and they are 4-1 in their last five games away from home. On the season, they have outscored their opponents by an average of 6.6 points per game on the road.

Connecticut has an ATS record of 18-11-1 this season, including a mark of 7-4-1 vs. the spread on the road. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Huskies are 7-3 ATS. Over their last 3 road games, UConn has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Connecticut’s games this season (145). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 141 points.

Compared to their season average of 81.4 points per game, Connecticut struggled in their previous game. Against Marquette, the Huskies scored 74 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 43.5%. The top scorer for the Huskies was Alex Karaban with 23 points, while Cam Spencer also chipped in with 17 points.

Currently, the Huskies’ defense holds the 16th rank in the nation, allowing 64.1 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.8 threes per game vs. Providence. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.9%.

Are Providence Ready for a Home Win?

Providence enters this game with a record of 19-11 and a Big East record of 10-9. They have gone 14-4 at home this season, compared to 5-7 on the road.

As the underdog, the Friars have gone 5-7 this season. In their last game, they defeated Georgetown by a score of 71-58. Over their last 10 games at home, Providence has gone 7-3.

As the underdog this season, Providence has gone 9-3 vs. the spread. At home, the Friars are 9-9 ATS this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Providence is 8-2 vs. the spread. However, their ATS record vs. the spread as the underdog in their last 3 home games is only 1-2.

Providence’s over/under record this season is 13-17 and the average scoring in their games is 142 points. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (141.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

The Friars’ offense wrapped up their last game with 71 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 73.2 points per contest. Offensively, the Friars have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 172nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 256th in percentage and 94th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Friars’ defense is ranked 89th in the country at 68.8 points per contest. So far, the Providence defense is giving up an average of 8.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.8 times per game (594th).