Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick 09/28/19

Eugenio Suarez and the slumping Cincinnati Reds will be taking the field against their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The action starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on both ATPT and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

The Pirates are 69-91 straight up (SU) and 77-82 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 11.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.8 units ATS. The Reds have gone 73-87 SU this year and are 83-76 ATS. They’ve lost 11.6 units for moneyline bettors and 3.6 units ATS.

Pirates games have had an over/under record of 91-60-8 in 2019. Cincinnati has been a solid under bet with a total record of 59-90-10.

Lucas Sims is getting the nod for Cincinnati. The right-handed Sims (2-1, 4.39 ERA) has recorded 56 punchouts in 41 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.

The Pirates are sending James Marvel (0-3, 10.22 ERA) to the mound. Marvel has seven strikeouts and four walks as well as a WHIP of 1.86. Marvel has yet to face the Reds this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2018.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 5.7 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 5.43 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.96 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 74 divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.33.

The Pittsburgh offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .283/.311/.405 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Starling Marte and Bryan Reynolds have led the Pirates’ offense this year. Marte is hitting .295/.342/.503 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 97 runs and 25 steals, and Reynolds has put up a line of .314/.377/.503 with 16 homers, 68 RBIs and 83 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.38, along with a K/9 of 9.87.

The Reds offense has slashed .243/.316/.420 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias, who have combined to drive in 160 runs. Suarez is slashing .271/.356/.574 with 49 home runs, 103 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Iglesias is slashing .284/.312/.402 with 11 homers, 57 RBIs and 61 runs scored.

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER