Planning on watching today’s Bearcats and Bears game? Catch the action at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 9:30 ET on ESPN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 141 points, and Baylor is favored by -4.5 to win at home against Cincinnati.

CINCINNATI BEARCATS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats +4.5

This game will be played at T-Mobile Center at 9:30 ET on Thursday, March 14th.

WHY BET THE CINCINNATI BEARCATS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-71 in favor of the Bears.
  • Even though we have Baylor winning straight-up, we like Cincinnati at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can The Bearcats Secure a Road Victory?

After a 92-56 win over West Virginia, Cincinnati enters this game with a record of 18-13. They have won two straight games, and over their last ten games, they have gone 4-6. On the road this season, the Bearcats are 4-7, and their average scoring margin on the road is -3.3 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Cincinnati has gone 3-6, and they have been the underdog in nine of their 31 games. For the year, they have been favored in 21 games, going 15-6 in those matchups.

As the underdog this season, Cincinnati has gone 6-2-1 vs. the spread. On the road, the Bearcats have an ATS mark of 8-2 in their last 10 games and they are 3-0 ATS in their last three road contests. Overall, Cincinnati is 14-15-1 ATS this season.

Today’s over/under line of 141 is lower than the average over/under line in Cincinnati’s games this year (144.1). This season, the over/under record in their games is 15-15. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points compared to their season average of 142.6 points per game.

Cincinnati is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 92 points vs. West Virginia. This figure is more than their season average of 75.2 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Daniel Skillings, who is averaging 12.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Day Day Thomas also maintains a PPG average of 10.7 heading into game.

In the current season, the Cincinnati defense has excelled, sitting 58th in the nation by allowing 67.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Cincinnati’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.3% this season.

Can the Bears Hold Strong at Home?

After a loss to Texas Tech, Baylor will look to get back on track as they are 16-1 at home this season. On the year, they are 22-9, and they are 19-2 when favored.

So far, Baylor has gone 11-6 in Big 12 play, and they are 11-3 in non-conference games. At home, they have won their last five games, and they are 8-2 in their last 10.

At home this season, Baylor has an ATS record of 12-4-1 and they are 5-4-1 in their last 10 home games against the spread. As the favorite, the Bears have gone 14-6-1 vs. the spread this year and they are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

This season, the average over/under line in Baylor games is 147.9 points. So far, their over/under record is 15-14. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 160 points and their over/under record is 2-1.

In their recent matchup, the Baylor offense ended with 68 points against Texas Tech. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.1% and made 5 threes. Leading Baylor in scoring vs. Texas Tech was Ja’Kobe Walter with his 15 points. Jayden Nunn also added 14 points for the Bears.

At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 155th in the country, permitting 71.5 points per game. Against Texas Tech in their most recent game, the Baylor defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing Texas Tech to hit 49% of their shots.