Betting on today’s Flames and Lightning game? Catch the action at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL, as the Lightning hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 6.5 goals, and the Lightning are favored by -1.5 vs. the Flames.

CALGARY FLAMES VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:

  • Looking at our projections, the Lightning are expected to take down the Flames by a score of 4-2.
  • Take the Lightning on the moneyline
  • The Lightning should also cover at -1.5

Do the Flames Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Calgary is currently 11th in the Western Conference and 6th in the Pacific Division with a record of 30-26-5. On the road, the Flames have gone 14-12-4 this season. Over their last ten games, Calgary has gone 6-4 and they have won their last three games as the underdog.

So far this year, the Flames have been the underdog in 32 of their 61 games, and they have gone 16-13-3 in those games. Over their last five games, Calgary has gone 4-1, and they are 2-1 in their last three games.

Calgary’s puck line record for the season is 31-30, and they have gone 5-5 vs. the puck line in their last ten games. So far, the Flames have had 19 wins by multiple goals and have lost 18 games by more than one goal.

As the underdog, Calgary’s puck line record is 23-9, and they have gone 8-2 vs. the puck line in their last ten road games. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is +.1 goals per game.

On average, Calgary’s games have finished with 6.3 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.1. In total, the Flames come in with an over/under record of 35-25-1.

Calgary has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

Offensively, the Flames come into the game at 3.1 goals per contest placing 16th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 17th position in the league. Calgary’s offense comes into the game ranked 30th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 4th in the NHL.

Calgary’s current leading scorer is Blake Coleman. This season, he has 25 goals, which puts him 33rd in the NHL. Coleman also comes into the game with 22 assists.

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 19th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.4 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 16th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Jacob Markstrom has started 39 games this season. His current record stands at 21-16, and his save percentage is 0.898%.

Will the Lightning Defense Show Up at Home?

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 19-8-4. In the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay is in 7th place and 5th in the Atlantic Division. For the year, they are 33-24-6 and have been favored in 37 of their 63 games, going 23-12-2 in those contests. Over their last 10 games, the Lightning are 5-5, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five games.

So far this year, Tampa Bay has gone 17-19 against other Eastern Conference teams and 7-11 against Atlantic Division opponents. At home this year, the Lightning have gone 19-8-4. Over their last three games, they have gone 1-2.

At home this season, Tampa Bay has gone 17-14 vs. the puck line and 5-5 in their last 10 games. Their average scoring margin at home this year is +.6 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have won 23 games by multiple goals.

Overall, Tampa Bay is 31-32 vs. the puck line, including going 0-3 in their last three games. As the favorite, the Lightning are 16-21 vs. the puck line and have dropped three straight games vs. the puck line.

On average, Tampa Bay’s games have finished with 6.8 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.5. In total, the Lightning come in with an over/under record of 29-30-4.

Calgary has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.3 goals per contest placing 7th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 21st position in the league. This year, the Lightning have recorded a 20-12 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 13-10 record.

The leading scorer for Tampa Bay’s offense is Nikita Kucherov. Coming into the game he has 38 goals, ranking 6th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Kucherov has 67 assists this season.

Defensively, the Lightning come into the season ranked 19th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.4 shots per game against Tampa Bay. For the season, they are ranked 16th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy comes into the game having made 37 starts this season. So far, his record is 21-15 and he has a save percentage of 0.787%.