The Sabres and Stars are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Stars will host the game at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Stars as the -1.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals.

BUFFALO SABRES VS DALLAS STARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Dallas Stars -1.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, April 9th.

WHY BET THE DALLAS STARS:

  • With the Stars being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Stars.
  • Take the Stars on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Sabres (+1.5)

Does Buffalo Have A Chance at American Airlines Center?

Buffalo comes into this game with a record of 37-36-5 and 79 points, which puts them in 13th place in the Eastern Conference and 6th place in the Atlantic Division. On the road this season, the Sabres have gone 17-17-4.

Over their last ten games, Buffalo has gone 5-5, and they have won two straight games when they have been the favorite. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Sabres have gone 22-25.

Buffalo enters the game with a puck line record of 43-35 and a puck line mark of 23-15 on the road. So far, the Sabres have had 26 multiple-goal wins and 26 multiple-goal losses. They have gone 2-1 against the puck line in their last three games and 3-2 in their last five.

As the underdog, Buffalo’s puck line record is 32-17, and their average scoring margin when not favored is -.2 goals per game. So far, the Sabres have 11 wins by more than one goal compared to 15 losses by one goal. In their last ten road games, the Sabres have gone 6-4 against the puck line.

This season, Buffalo’s games are averaging 6 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.4. The Sabres currently have an over/under record of 31-44-3.

In their last three games away from home, the Sabres have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 2 goals per game in these contests.

On the offensive side, the Sabres are scoring an 3 goals per game this season, ranking 20th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 13th in the league. Buffalo’s offense comes into the game ranked 30th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 21st in the NHL.

Buffalo’s leading goal scorer is Tage Thompson. So far this season, he has 29 goals, placing him 39th in the NHL. Thompson also comes into the game with 26 assists.

Dallas defense takes on the Sabres ranked 23rd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 28.8 shots per game against Dallas. They also are 21st in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Dallas, goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has started 48 games in this season. His current record is 26-21, and his save percentage stands at 0.894%.

Will Dallas Come Through as Home Favorites?

With a record of 49-20-9, the Stars have been the best team in the Western Conference this season. At home, Dallas has gone 23-10-4 and has won four straight games at the American Airlines Center. Over their last ten games, the Stars have gone 9-1 and have won four of their last five games.

Against other teams in the Western Conference, Dallas has gone 32-15 this season, and they have been favored in 67 of their 78 games. Against teams in the Central Division, the Stars have gone 16-8 this season.

At home, the Stars have a puck line record of 13-24, and their average scoring margin is +.8 goals per game. So far, Dallas has won 28 games by multiple goals and has 35 wins by more than one goal.

Overall, the Stars’ puck line record is 35-43, and their puck line record as the favorite is 26-41. In their last ten games at home, Dallas has gone 5-5 against the puck line.

For the season, Dallas’ games have finished with an average of 6.6 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.2. Overall, the Stars have an over/under record of 42-35-1.

In their last three games away from home, the Sabres have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 2 goals per game in this stretch.

On the offensive side, the Stars are scoring an 3.7 goals per game this season, ranking 2nd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 9th in the league. Dallas’ offense comes into the game ranked 8th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 2nd in the NHL.

Dallas will be looking for a good game from Wyatt Johnston who leads the team in scoring with 31 goals, ranking 30th in the NHL. Johnston also comes into the game with 33 assists.

Defensively, the Stars are currently 23rd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.8 shots per game against Dallas. They also are 21st in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Jake Oettinger gets the start and has made 49 starts this season. His record at this point is 32-13, and his save percentage is 0.876%.