The Red Sox and Guardians are set to square off in an American League matchup at 1:10 PM from Progressive Field in Cleveland. Heading into Thursday’s game, the Guardians have the better record of 17-7, while the Red Sox are 14-11. Triston McKenzie will start for Cleveland, and he is facing off against Chase Anderson for Boston.

Cleveland comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -160, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by NESN.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -160

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:10 ET on Thursday, April 25th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS GUARDIANS:

  • We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Boston cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 6th inning, scoring three of their eight runs. As for the Guardians, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster four hits and left seven runners on base.

Cooper Criswell only went five innings for the Red Sox but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two hits. On the other side, Carlos Carrasco had a rough outing for the Guardians, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.

Rafael Devers and Wilyer Abreu each drove in two runs for the Red Sox’ offense. Devers, Connor Wong, and Ceddanne Rafaela each had two hits and scored two runs for Boston.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is currently 14-11 overall, and they are in 3rd place in the AL East, three games behind the Yankees. So far, they have yet to win a game against a division opponent. The Red Sox have gone 11-4 on the road compared to 3-7 at home.

As the underdog, Boston has gone 7-7 this season compared to 7-4 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 4-2-1, and they have won three straight series on the road. The Red Sox most recently split a two-game series with the Guardians.

When betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a profitable team this season, going 15-10 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 12-3 against the run line. Boston has an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game this season, and they have been outscoring their opponents by an average of 3.0 runs per game on the road.

When the Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Guardians met in the first game of their series, the over/under line was set at 8.0 runs. The game ended with a combined total of eight runs, resulting in a push for bettors. The Red Sox have played 23 games this season, and 19 of them have had over/under lines set above 7.5 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 10-13.

Chase Anderson will be looking to pitch deeper into the game today, as he has made six appearances and has yet to make a start. His last outing came out of the bullpen, where he finished with a no-decision, going two innings and not giving up a run. Anderson’s ERA for the season is 2.77, along with a WHIP of 0.85. Opponents are batting .200 off the right-hander this season. Looking back at his last four outings, Anderson has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has only given up a home run in one outing this season.

As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Boston is 2nd in the league in home runs and have the 3rd best isolated power mark in the league. However, they are just 16th in batting average and are near the bottom of the league in strikeouts.

Connor Wong and Wilyer Abreu have been swinging the bat well for the Red Sox, with Wong going 7/16 in his last four games with two homers and Abreu hitting .571 over his last five games. Abreu also has a six-game hitting streak. Tyler O’Neill has been a key power bat for the Red Sox, as he is 4th in the league with seven homers while batting .298.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Red Sox with an overall record of 17-7, and they lead the AL Central by 2.5 games over the Royals. The Guardians have gone 4-1 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they have been really good at home, going 7-4, and they have been even better on the road, going 10-3.

So far, the Guardians have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 6-1. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 10-5 this year and 7-2 as the underdog. Their most recent game was a loss to the Red Sox, which came after winning four straight games.

When the Cleveland Guardians win, they tend to win big, as their average run margin in victories is 4.0 runs per game. Their run line record as the favorite is 8-7, and they are 16-8 overall on the run line this season. Their run line record as the underdog is an impressive 8-1, and their average run margin for the season is +2.0 runs per game.

The Cleveland Guardians have seen their games go over the total in 14 of their 22 games this season, including all five games when the over/under line has been set at 7.5. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game.

Triston McKenzie has had a bit of an up-and-down start to the season, but he’s coming off a solid outing in which he picked up his first win of the year. He’s struck out 12 batters in 14 innings of work, and he’s given up a total of 8 hits and 3 home runs in his 3 starts.

So far, the Guardians offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 5.3 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is the 7th best mark in the league. Cleveland also has a good team slugging percentage and OPS.

Josh Naylor and José Ramirez have been the team’s top power threats, with Naylor’s six homers being the best mark on the team and Ramirez’s four homers coming in as the 2nd best mark. Naylor has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/27 in his last seven games with two homers and eight RBIs. Ramirez is just 5/23 in his last six games.