Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 09/24/19

0

The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on their divisional rival Toronto Blue Jays. The matchup will get going at 7:07 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the action.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Toronto (-145) as the favorite over Baltimore (+135). If you think this game’s total will finish below 10 runs, then bookmakers are currently offering even money odds (+100) to play the under. Taking the over can return -120 odds. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -160 for picking the Orioles +1.5 runs and +140 for the Blue Jays -1.5.

The Blue Jays are 78-78 against the spread (ATS), but only 64-93 straight up (SU). The team has lost 15.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, have gone 51-106 SU this year and are 65-91 ATS. They’ve lost 21.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 32.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Blue Jays games have a 72-75-9 over/under record in 2019. Baltimore has been a good over bet with a total record of 79-65-12.

Right-hander Dylan Bundy will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Bundy (6-14, 4.89 ERA) has recorded 156 punchouts in 154.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.12 ERA against Toronto this year (three starts).

The Blue Jays are preparing to start Anthony Kay (1-0, 5.79 ERA), who has 13 strikeouts and five walks, along with a WHIP of 1.43. Kay is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Baltimore this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.66 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.03 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.84, along with a K-per-9 of 8.58.

Orioles hitters have slashed .246/.311/.414 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Jonathan Villar and outfielder Trey Mancini have led Baltimore’s offense. Villar is slashing .275/.341/.460 with 24 home runs, 71 RBIs, 108 runs and 38 stolen bases, while Mancini (.286/.358/.530) is up to 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 101 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.33 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 71 games against divisional opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 5.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.50.

Toronto’s hitters have produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .238/.311/.471 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Right fielder Randal Grichuk and third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have led the Blue Jays’ offense this year. Grichuk is slashing .236/.285/.463 with 31 home runs, 79 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Guerrero Jr.’s line is .276/.344/.442 with 15 homers, 69 RBIs and 52 runs.

The Blue Jays have lost 16.1 units and are 53-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against righty starters.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Notes

Baltimore has recorded 18 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Toronto has 21 XBH over its last five.

Baltimore has posted 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.