The Governors and Hatters are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN2. The Hatters will host the game at Edmunds Center in DeLand, FL. This Atlantic Sun conference matchup has an over/under of 145.5 points, and Stetson is favored to win by -3.5 at home vs. Austin Peay.


The Pick: Stetson Hatters -3.5

This game will be played at Edmunds Center at 2:00 ET on Sunday, March 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Hatters.
  • Not only will Stetson pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Governors Exceed Expectations on the Road?

On the season, Austin Peay has gone 5-12 on the road, and their average scoring margin is -5.0 points per game. They have gone 8-12 when listed as the underdog.

Over their last 10 road games, the Governors have gone just 3-7, but they have won two straight games.

As the underdog, Austin Peay has an ATS record of 13-7 this season and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Governors have an ATS mark of 10-7 this year and they are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games.

The over/under record for Austin Peay games this season is 18-10, and the average scoring total in their games is 144 points. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (140). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

In their recent game, the Governors’ offense concluded with 77 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.5 points per contest. Dezi Jones was the leading scorer for the Governors, putting up 34 points. In addition, Demarcus Sharp contributed 12 points.

In terms of defense, Austin Peay is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.3 points per game. Austin Peay’s three-point defense is currently 75th in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.4% of their shots vs. Austin Peay.

Can the Hatters Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Stetson has been a much better team at home this season, going 12-2 compared to 6-10 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +6.4 compared to -7.1 on the road. They have won three straight games at home, and their record over their last 10 games at home is 8-2.

Overall, Stetson is 21-12 this season, and they have won two straight games. In Atlantic Sun play, they have gone 13-5 compared to 8-7 in non-conference games. Today, they are favored by 3.5 points, and they have gone 11-4 this season when favored.

Stetson has gone 8-6 vs. the spread at home this season and is 5-5 ATS as the favorite over their last 10 games. Overall, the Hatters have an ATS record of 16-14 this year.

Stetson’s over/under record this season is 11-17-2, and today’s line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (146.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

Stetson’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Jacksonville, finishing the game with a total of 88 points. Their season average is now 77 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Jalen Blackmon, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 20.8, while Stephan D.Swenson also maintains a PPG average of 13.8 leading up to the game.

Stetson’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.2 points per game. In their most recent game, the Stetson defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Jacksonville knocked down 13 three-pointers on their way to 87 points.