Getting the start for the Braves (75-41, 38-21 away) will be Yonny Chirinos against Kodai Senga for the Mets (52-65, 28-27 home). Today marks game four of their series, with the Braves currently holding the 3-0 lead. Read on to see my best bet for this Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets matchup.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves -135
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Sunday, August 13th.
WHY BET THE ATLANTA BRAVES:
- The Braves have put together a 6-4 record in their last ten games as the favorite.
- In their three most recent games as the favorite, the Braves are 3-0.
- In Yonny Chirinos’ four most recent starts, the Braves are 3-1.
ATLANTA BRAVES ON A RUNLINE WIN STREAK
Atlanta head into today’s game seeking their 4th straight win and are in 1st place in the NL East. On the road, Atlanta is 38-21 and 37-20 at home. With an overall record of 75-41, the Braves have a series win percentage of 73% (24-9-3).
Atlanta’s Yonny Chirinos has a 5-4 record and an ERA of 4.83. On the road, his ERA is 3.52, while it jumps to 5.69 when pitching at home. His WHIP for the season is 1.32, with opponents batting .258 against him and slugging .472.
Yonny Chirinos was unable to secure the win in his most recent outing against the Pirates, surrendering six runs and seven hits. Despite this, the Braves were able to come away with a 8-6 victory.
For the season, the Braves are 1st in batting average, hitting a combined .275. Over their last ten games, they have hit .286 which is 1st in that span. Atlanta’s average of 5.8 runs per game puts them 1st in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 225 times and have a team slugging percentage of .502.
The Braves’ offense has been led by Ronald Acuña Jr. this season, with the star outfielder boasting a .336 batting average and 71 runs batted in. He has also smashed 26 home runs in 2023, providing a powerful presence at the plate.
WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
The Mets’ record of 52-65 has them ranked 4th in the NL East. So far, they have a below .500 series record of 13-19-5. This season, they have gone 28-27 at home and 24-38 on the road.
Kodai Senga is set to make his 22nd appearance of the season today, with an 8-6 record and a 3.24 ERA. He has allowed an OBP of .301 while striking out 142 batters and posting a WHIP of 1.30. On the road, his ERA sits at 4.57, compared to 2.88 when pitching at home.
Kodai Senga earned a victory in his last outing against the Cubs, delivering a quality start and allowing two runs on seven hits over six innings as the Mets cruised to an 11-2 win.
With a season-long average of 4.3 runs per game, the Mets are the 21st ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .235, with an OBP of .316. In New York’s last ten games, they are 12th in home runs, having gone deep nine times in that span.
Pete Alonso is the Mets’ leader in home runs this season, with 35 long balls and 87 RBIs. His slugging percentage is a robust .524 for the year.