Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 10/07/19

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The Atlanta Braves are taking on the St. Louis Cardinals in Game 4 of the NL Divisional Playoffs. The visiting Braves (up 2-1) are only one win away from reaching the NLCS, and this elimination matchup is scheduled to begin at 3:07 p.m. ET. It will be televised on TBS.

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

The Braves have gone 99-66 SU across the regular season and postseason, and are 81-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 17.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 2.6 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 92-73 SU and 86-78 ATS. They’ve gained 4.5 units for moneyline bettors and 4.5 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 68-84-12 in 2019. Atlanta has an over/under record of 79-77-8.

Dallas Keuchel will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The southpaw Keuchel is 8-8 with a 3.75 ERA and 91 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Cardinals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Dakota Hudson (16-7, 3.35 ERA), who has 136 strikeouts and 86 walks, along with a 1.41 WHIP. Hudson is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

Behind a team slash line of .240/.315/.400, Atlanta has scored 4.0 runs per game through three postseason outings. The Cardinals are hitting .242/.299/.354 over three games and the team has put up 2.7 runs during this year’s playoffs.

The Cardinals bullpen has registered an ERA of 9.95 and a WHIP of 2.05 this postseason, while Braves relievers have fared noticeably better with a 6.48 ERA and 2.28 WHIP.

Second baseman Ozzie Albies and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. continue to lead Atlanta’s offense. Albies is slashing .294/.352/.495 with 24 home runs, 86 RBIs, 104 runs and 15 steals, while Acuna Jr. (.281/.368/.523) is up to 42 homers, 103 RBIs, 128 runs and 37 stolen bases.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and second baseman Kolten Wong have led the Cardinals’ batters this year. Goldschmidt is slashing .261/.346/.481 with 35 home runs, 98 RBIs and 99 runs scored, and Wong’s line sits at .282/.358/.418 with 11 homers, 61 RBIs, 61 runs and 24 stolen bases.

The Braves are coming off of a 3-1 win in Game .

Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Trends

Atlanta has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. St. Louis has 15 XBH over its last five.

St. Louis has posted 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.2 over its last five.

The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

The Braves have an OPS of .789 this season and an OPS of .792 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .738 overall and .735 against righties.

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