Heading into game two of this NL West matchup, the Dodgers (81-49, 44-21 home) will send Clayton Kershaw to the mound against the Diamondbacks (69-63, 34-31 away) and Merrill Kelly. Check out my pick for today’s Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers game in Los Angeles.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 ET on Tuesday, August 29th.
WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:
- Over their last three games on the road, Arizona is 2-1 against the runline.
- In their last three games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have put together a runline record of 2-1.
- Over his last two starts, Merrill Kelly has an ERA of just 2.53.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD
Coming in with an overall record of 69-63, the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West. As of late, Arizona has been good on the road, winning two straight road series. The team’s overall series record is 24-16-3. For the season, the Diamondbacks have a runline record of 73-59, which includes going 38-27 away from home. Their over/under mark is 57-68 this year.
Merrill Kelly has been a bright spot for the Diamondbacks this season, boasting a 10-5 record in 23 appearances. His ERA is an impressive 2.97, and his K/9 figure of 9.64 is nothing to sneeze at either. Additionally, Kelly’s FIP stands at 3.92 and his OBP is .279 – both of which are solid numbers for the veteran pitcher.
In his most recent outing, Merrill Kelly delivered a quality start for the Diamondbacks, surrendering no runs on one hit over seven innings. Nevertheless, he did not factor into the decision in Arizona’s 3-2 victory over Cincinnati.
Having gone deep 4 times in their last five games, the Diamondbacks are 9th in that span. At 4.7 runs per game, Arizona is 11th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .254 while hitting a total of 144 home runs (18th).
The Diamondbacks’ Ketel Marte leads the team in hits, boasting a .274 batting average. He has a .481 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .357 heading into this game.
WILL THE LOS ANGELES DODGERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
For the season, the Dodgers are 81-49 overall, including going 37-28 on the road and 44-21 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Los Angeles is above .500 at 28-13-1. In the NL West, the Dodgers are currently 1st.
Clayton Kershaw has been a force to be reckoned with this season, boasting an 11-4 record and 2.52 ERA. On the road, he’s posted a 3.73 ERA, while at home he’s been nearly untouchable with an impressive 1.90 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.02 and batters have only managed to hit .206 against him, with a slugging percentage of .357.
Clayton Kershaw’s most recent outing was a challenge, as he allowed one run on one hit in two innings pitched. Fortunately, the Dodgers were able to secure a 6-1 victory over the Guardians, allowing Kershaw to escape without a loss.
Across their last five games, the Dodgers’ offense is 3rd in batting average, leading to an average of 7 runs per contest in that span. Overall, they are the 2nd ranked scoring offense and posted a season-long OPS of .796 on 204 (2nd). On average, they have struckout 8 times per game compard to 4.0 walks.
Mookie Betts has been the Dodgers’ power source in 2023, leading the team with 35 home runs and 93 RBIs. His slugging percentage of .606 is also tops on the squad.