Planning on watching today’s Mountaineers and Bobcats game? Catch the action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX, as the Bobcats hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. Appalachian State is favored by -8 in this Sun Belt conference matchup the against Texas State. The over/under for the game is set at 133.5 points.
APPALACHIAN STATE MOUNTAINEERS VS TEXAS STATE BOBCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas State Bobcats +8
This game will be played at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS STATE BOBCATS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Bobcats.
- Not only will Texas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Will the Mountaineers Defense Show Up on the Road?
Appalachian State has been dominant all season long, and they come into this game on a seven-game winning streak. So far, the Mountaineers have gone 19-4 overall, including a 9-1 mark in Sun Belt play.
On the road, Appalachian State has been great, going 7-3 and winning their last three games away from home. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +7.1 on the road, and they have been favored in 17 of their 23 games.
Appalachian State has an overall ATS record of 13-8 this season, including a mark of 7-3 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mountaineers are 5-5 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Appalachian State’s games this season (141.7). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 159 points.
In their previous game, the Mountaineers’ offense finished with 81 points, which is right in line with their current average of 78.3 points per contest. Tre’Von Spillers is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 13.8. Meanwhile, Donovan Gregory also brings a PPG average of 12.2 into the game.
This season, the Appalachian State defense has been impressive, holding the 38th position in the country while permitting an average of 65.4 points per contest. Appalachian State’s three-point defense is currently 76th in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 37.7% of their shots vs. Appalachian State.
Will Texas State Win at Home?
As the Texas State Bobcats (9-14, 3-8 Sun Belt) prepare to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers, they will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak. Texas State is 3-6 at home this season, and they are 2-11 as the underdog.
In their last outing, the Bobcats defeated Southern Miss by a score of 60-55. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 4-6.
As the underdog this season, Texas State has an ATS record of just 4-9. Their overall ATS mark is 9-12, and at home, they are just 3-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bobcats have gone 3-7 and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three games as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas State’s games this season (138.1). The average scoring total in their last three games is 122 points and their over/under record this season is 9-12.
In their most recent game, the Texas State offense concluded with only 60 points against Southern Miss. Throughout the game, they made 1/7 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 41%. One area that the Texas State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 160th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 44%.
On the defensive side, Texas State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.0 points per game. The Texas State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 55 points and allowed Southern Miss to connect on 1 threes.