The Hornets and Tigers are set to face off at 9:30 ET on ESPN+. The Tigers will host the game at Bartow Arena in Birmingham, AL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 128 points, and Grambling State is favored by -1.5 to win at home against Alabama State.


The Pick: Grambling State Tigers -1.5

This game will be played at Bartow Arena at 9:30 ET on Wednesday, March 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Not only will Grambling State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 128 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Hornets Have What it Takes on the Road?

Alabama State comes into this game with a 13-18 record, including a 6-9 mark in Southwestern Athletic Conference play. They have lost three straight games, including a 65-57 defeat to Southern in their most recent contest. The Hornets have gone 5-12 on the road this season, and they have an average scoring margin of -6.7 points per game away from home.

As the underdog, Alabama State has gone 2-12 this season, compared to a 6-5 record as the favorite. They have been the underdog in 14 of their 31 games. So far, they have gone 0-3 on the road, 0-5 in their last five road games, and 4-6 in their last 10 road contests.

Alabama State has an ATS record of 13-12 this season, but they have struggled vs. the spread on the road, going 0-3 in their last 3 games and 4-5 in their last 10 road games. As the underdog, the Hornets are 9-5 vs. the spread this year and 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Alabama State’s over/under record for the season sits at 9-16, and today’s line of 128 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (143.4). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 134 points.

Most recently, the Alabama State offense finished with just 57 points vs. Southern. For the game, they hit 7/26 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 31.7%. The team’s top scorer is Antonio TJ Madlock, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15.9, while CJ Hines also maintains a PPG average of 9.7 leading up to the game.

At present, the Hornets’ defense is nationally ranked 108th, allowing 69.8 points per game. Against Southern, the Hornets’ defense gave up 65 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Southern only made 10 free-throws.

Can the Tigers Hold Strong at Home?

Grambling State is favored by 1.5 points in today’s game against Alabama State. The Tigers have a 17-14 record this season and come in on a six-game win streak. They are 14-3 in Southwestern Athletic Conference games and 3-11 against non-conference opponents.

At home, Grambling State is 6-5 this season, and their average scoring margin is -0.1 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3, and their record over the last five games is 3-2.

Grambling State has an ATS record of 14-13 this season, including a mark of 4-7 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers are just 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Grambling State games is 13-14 and today’s line of 128 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (135.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 6-4.

Grambling State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 74 points against Alabama A&M. This output exceeded their season average of 67.8 points per game. Leading Grambling State in scoring vs. Alabama A&M was Tra’Michael Moton with his 17 points. Jalen Johnson also added 14 points for the Tigers.

Coming into today’s game, the Grambling State defense is giving up an average of 70.3 points per contest. So far, the Grambling State defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.6 times per game (663rd).