Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Falcons versus the Lobos? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on MWN. The game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 144.5 points, and New Mexico is favored by -15 to win at home against Air Force.

AIR FORCE FALCONS VS NEW MEXICO LOBOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Air Force Falcons +15

This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, March 13th.

WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lobos.
  • Even though we have New Mexico winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +15.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will Air Force Win on the Road?

The Air Force Falcons have had a tough season, as they come into this game with a 9-21 overall record and a 2-16 mark in Mountain West play. They have lost their last four games, including their most recent contest against Colorado State by a score of 82-73.

On the road this season, Air Force has gone 5-8, and they have gone 3-15 as the underdog. Over their last ten road games, they have gone 3-7, and they are coming off a 1-4 stretch over their last five road games.

As the underdog this season, Air Force has gone 7-11 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS record is 10-20. On the road, the Falcons have gone 7-6 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 road ATS mark is 6-4. As the underdog, Air Force is 3-7 vs. the spread in their last 10 games.

So far this season, the over/under record in Air Force games is 21-9. The average scoring total in their games is 138.5 points, which is four points higher than the average over/under line of 134.5. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season and the average scoring total in their last three games (141 points).

The Air Force offense is coming off a game in which they scored 73 points vs. Colorado State. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.1% while connecting on 9 threes. The team’s top scorer is Beau Becker, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14, while Ethan Taylor also carries a PPG average of 13.9 into the game.

At present, the Falcons’ defense is nationally ranked 174th, allowing 72.0 points per game. The Air Force defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 82 points and allowed Colorado State to connect on 9 threes.

Can New Mexico Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Heading into tonight’s game, New Mexico has been favored 23 times this season, going 19-4 in those games. The Lobos are 12-3 at home this season, compared to 8-6 on the road.

Over their last ten games at home, the Lobos have gone 7-3. In their most recent game, New Mexico fell to Utah State by a score of 87-85.

As the favorite this season, New Mexico has gone 16-7 against the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 10-5. However, their recent ATS record at home is just 1-4 and they are 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three games as the favorite.

On the season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 17-12. So far, the average point total in their games is 153.7. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (153.4). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their last three games have averaged 159 points.

In their previous game, the Lobos’ offense finished with 85 points, which is right in line with their current average of 82.6 points per contest. Offensively, the Lobos have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 102nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 255th in percentage and 256th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Lobos’ defense holds the 165th rank in the nation, allowing 71.7 points per game. New Mexico’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Utah State offense to knock down 53% of their shots on their way to putting up 87 points.