Betting on today’s Badgers and Fighting Illini game? Catch the action at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN, as the Fighting Illini hosts this showdown at 3:30 ET on CBS. The odds for this Big Ten conference game currently have Illinois as the -3.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 148.5 points.


The Pick: Illinois Fighting Illini -3.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 3:30 ET on Sunday, March 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Fighting Illini.
  • Not only will Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Badgers Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Wisconsin enters this game as a 3.5-point underdog. On the season, the Badgers have gone 19-12, including a 14-9 mark in Big Ten play. Over their last three games, Wisconsin has gone 3-0, and they are 5-3 in non-conference games.

As the underdog, the Badgers have gone 4-6 this season, and they are 5-9 on the road. Their average scoring margin on the road is -3.3, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three road games. For the year, Wisconsin has gone 18-6 when favored.

As the underdog, Wisconsin has an ATS record of 5-5 this season. Their overall ATS mark is 16-18. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Badgers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Wisconsin games is 20-12-2 with the average scoring total in their games sitting at 143.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (138.4) and this year, 24 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 141 points.

In their recent game, the Badgers’ offense concluded with 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.7 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is AJ Storr, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16.7, while Steven Crowl also maintains a PPG average of 11.2 leading up to the game.

So far, the Badgers’ defense is ranked 91st in the country at 69.0 points per contest. Against Northwestern in their most recent game, the Wisconsin defense gave up a total of 61 points while allowing Northwestern to hit 37% of their shots.

Can the Fighting Illini Hold Strong at Home?

With a record of 19-3 at home, Illinois is favored by 3.5 points against Wisconsin, and they have a record of 23-5 as the favorite this season. The Fighting Illini have won four straight games, and they are 17-6 in Big Ten play.

Illinois has been even better at home as of late, going 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. They are coming off a 98-87 win over Nebraska, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five games at home.

Illinois has an ATS record of 17-15-2 this season, including a home ATS mark of 9-12-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini are 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Illinois games is 24-10. The average over/under line in their games is 150 and their games have averaged 157.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 156 points.

Illinois is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 98 points versus Nebraska. This output is higher than their season-average of 84.2 points per game. Terrence Shannon Jr. is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 22.6 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Marcus Domask brings a PPG average of 15.7 into the game.

At present, the Fighting Illini’s defense is nationally ranked 224th, allowing 73.4 points per game. In their most recent game, the Illinois defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Nebraska knocked down 13 three-pointers on their way to 87 points.